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Sporting Jax vs San Antonio FC

USA USA

USL Championship Hodges Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting Jax play San Antonio FC in the USL Championship. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sporting Jax averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. San Antonio FC averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Sporting Jax won 0, San Antonio FC won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 27, 2026 ended 4:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Sporting Jax and 2.19 for San Antonio FC. This points to a San Antonio FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sporting Jax
24%
Draws
50%
San Antonio FC
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: San Antonio FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Sporting Jax picked up more points recently compared to San Antonio FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 2.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Sporting Jax Clean Sheet 10%
San Antonio FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Jax San Antonio FC
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 6 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.29 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.89 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 USL Championship
Sporting Jax vs San Antonio FC
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Jax Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaaskelainen E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedder R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

San Antonio FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorto C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Erofeev D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Jax 25 / 100
San Antonio FC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Jax San Antonio FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: San Antonio FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sporting Jax attacking → ← attacking San Antonio FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Jax scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

San Antonio FC let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Sporting Jax went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

San Antonio FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 51
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tampa Bay1594224:1231
2Charleston1582530:2126
3Detroit City1473421:1424
4Louisville City1573525:2224
5Indy Eleven1263318:1221
6Pittsburgh Riverhounds1362515:1520
7Hartford Athletic1346310:1118
8Miami FC1546518:2418
9Rhode Island1244422:1616
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1433815:2412
12Loudoun United1418517:2811
13Sporting Jax15041119:414
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Orange County SC1576223:1627
2San Antonio FC1567220:1725
3New Mexico1363415:1421
4Oakland Roots1556424:2221
5Colorado Springs1454524:2219
6El Paso Locomotive1454525:2419
7FC Tulsa1354417:1619
8Lexington1353521:1618
9Phoenix Rising1545620:2217
10Sacramento Republic1244413:1216
11Las Vegas Lights1443721:2515
12Monterey Bay1543814:2215