Sport Picks
Sporting Jax W vs Tampa Bay Sun W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Super League Women Hodges Stadium, Jacksonville, FL 
Match Events
21'
21'
Sub
White K. In: Zschuppe E.
Out: White K.
35'
35'
Connors S.
Assist: Nasello S.
38'
38'
Jones S.
AI Match Summary
Sporting Jax W in this USL Super League Women matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting Jax W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tampa Bay Sun W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
25%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sporting Jax W lately — more wins on the board than Tampa Bay Sun W.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Sporting Jax W have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sporting Jax W Clean Sheet 20%
Tampa Bay Sun W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Jax W | Tampa Bay Sun W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 USL Super League Women
Sporting Jax W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
3:2
Dec 20, 2025 USL Super League Women
Sporting Jax W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
3:1
Dec 7, 2025 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Sporting Jax W
0:3
Oct 18, 2025 USL Super League Women
Sporting Jax W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Sporting Jax W
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting Jax W Compare
Top Goalscorer DeSmit B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Puerta A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Tampa Bay Sun W Compare
Top Goalscorer Connors S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zade J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Jax W 31 / 100
Tampa Bay Sun W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Jax W Tampa Bay Sun W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sporting Jax W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting Jax W found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
Tampa Bay Sun W has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Sporting Jax W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sporting Jax W VS Tampa Bay Sun W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Jax W
(Home) 26 Sept
Carolina Ascent W
3 : 3 Sporting Jax W
20 Sept
Sporting Jax W
0 : 1 Lexington W
13 Sept
Brooklyn W
3 : 2 Sporting Jax W
04 Sept
DC Power W
1 : 1 Sporting Jax W
29 Aug
Sporting Jax W
2 : 0 Dallas Trinity W
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sporting Jax W
0 : 1 Lexington W
29 Aug
Sporting Jax W
2 : 0 Dallas Trinity W
22 Aug
Sporting Jax W
3 : 2 Tampa Bay Sun W
24 May
Sporting Jax W
0 : 1 Carolina Ascent W
03 May
Sporting Jax W
2 : 1 Brooklyn W
Page 1 of 3
Tampa Bay Sun W
(Away) 10 Oct
Tampa Bay Sun W
0 : 3 Carolina Ascent W
04 Oct
Tampa Bay Sun W
1 : 1 Lexington W
18 Sept
DC Power W
1 : 1 Tampa Bay Sun W
12 Sept
Tampa Bay Sun W
2 : 1 Fort Lauderdale United W
29 Aug
Carolina Ascent W
1 : 2 Tampa Bay Sun W
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
DC Power W
1 : 1 Tampa Bay Sun W
29 Aug
Carolina Ascent W
1 : 2 Tampa Bay Sun W
22 Aug
Sporting Jax W
3 : 2 Tampa Bay Sun W
16 Aug
Dallas Trinity W
1 : 1 Tampa Bay Sun W
16 May
Lexington W
1 : 0 Tampa Bay Sun W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carolina Ascent W | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Sporting Jax W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 3 | Dallas Trinity W | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 11 |
| 4 | DC Power W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Lexington W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Tampa Bay Sun W | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 7 | Brooklyn W | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 7 |
| 8 | Fort Lauderdale United W | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | 3 |
Promotion - USL Super League Women (Play Offs)
