Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Kansas City II vs North Texas

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Swope Soccer Village
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
James N.
Assist: Louis R.
40' Event
Nys E.
Assist: Garcia D.
43' Event
James N.
Assist: Nys E.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Sporting Kansas City II and North Texas finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Texas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sporting Kansas City II
28%
Draws
50%
North Texas
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: North Texas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sporting Kansas City II haven't matched North Texas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives North Texas a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and North Texas have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Sporting Kansas City II Clean Sheet 10%
North Texas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Kansas City II North Texas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 0 0
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs Sporting Kansas City II
5:1
Apr 11, 2026 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs Sporting Kansas City II
3:2
Apr 5, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Sporting Kansas City II vs North Texas
1:4
Sep 15, 2025 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs Sporting Kansas City II
1:2
Jul 19, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Sporting Kansas City II vs North Texas
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Kansas City II Compare

Top Goalscorer Haas T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

North Texas Compare

Top Goalscorer James N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nys E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Kansas City II 22 / 100
North Texas 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Kansas City II North Texas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NTX Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Texas has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Sporting Kansas City II scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

North Texas's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Kansas City II VS North Texas
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 218130533:2936
2New York Red Bulls II18100839:2732
3New England Revolution II17110623:2032
4New York City II1690727:2328
5Philadelphia Union II1890921:2126
6CT United FC1790831:3125
7Toronto FC II18701127:3522
8FC Cincinnati 217501216:3114
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy17120541:2534
2Orlando City B18110739:3233
3Chattanooga18120634:2933
4Atlanta United 21790838:2630
5Chicago Fire II1790827:2427
6Huntsville City17701029:3522
7Carolina Core19501422:3218
8Inter Miami II16101514:415
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 218110723:2234
2Ventura County18100832:2729
3Los Angeles FC 21790828:2829
4San Jose Earthquakes II1690737:1928
5Real Monarchs18100829:3126
6Tacoma Defiance18801019:2424
7Vancouver Whitecaps 219601325:4017
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II17130436:1640
2Houston Dynamo 216130337:1437
3Minnesota United 219100928:3129
4St. Louis City 218100829:3029
5North Texas1670926:2122
6Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
7Colorado Rapids 218301516:3512
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 218130533:2936
2Crown Legacy17120541:2534
3Orlando City B18110739:3233
4Chattanooga18120634:2933
5New York Red Bulls II18100839:2732
6New England Revolution II17110623:2032
7Atlanta United 21790838:2630
8New York City II1690727:2328
9Chicago Fire II1790827:2427
10Philadelphia Union II1890921:2126
11CT United FC1790831:3125
12Toronto FC II18701127:3522
13Huntsville City17701029:3522
14Carolina Core19501422:3218
15FC Cincinnati 217501216:3114
16Inter Miami II16101514:415
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II17130436:1640
2Houston Dynamo 216130337:1437
3Portland Timbers 218110723:2234
4Minnesota United 219100928:3129
5Ventura County18100832:2729
6Los Angeles FC 21790828:2829
7St. Louis City 218100829:3029
8San Jose Earthquakes II1690737:1928
9Real Monarchs18100829:3126
10Tacoma Defiance18801019:2424
11North Texas1670926:2122
12Vancouver Whitecaps 219601325:4017
13Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
14Colorado Rapids 218301516:3512