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Sporting Kansas City II vs St. Louis City 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Swope Soccer Village, Kansas City, MO
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ikoba T.
Assist: Haas T.
24' Event
Zengue Z.
Assist: McDonald P.
46'
Sub
Burns T. In: Francka J.
Out: Burns T.

AI Match Summary

St. Louis City 2 in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Louis City 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sporting Kansas City II
15%
Draws
42%
St. Louis City 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Kansas City II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • St. Louis City 2 have won more games recently than Sporting Kansas City II.
  • St. Louis City 2 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • St. Louis City 2 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sporting Kansas City II Clean Sheet 10%
St. Louis City 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Kansas City II St. Louis City 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 0 0
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 1.3 1.62
Goals Conceded 2.77 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Sporting Kansas City II vs St. Louis City 2
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Sporting Kansas City II vs St. Louis City 2
0:2
Feb 28, 2026 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Sporting Kansas City II
4:0
Aug 24, 2025 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Sporting Kansas City II
3:0
Mar 23, 2025 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Sporting Kansas City II
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Kansas City II Compare

Top Goalscorer Ikoba T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

St. Louis City 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zengue Z.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Kansas City II 10 / 100
St. Louis City 2 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Kansas City II St. Louis City 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Louis City 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Kansas City II found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

St. Louis City 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

St. Louis City 2 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Kansas City II VS St. Louis City 2
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Kansas City II

(Home)
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 3
Sporting Kansas City II
14 Sept
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 5
Los Angeles FC 2
06 Sept
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 2
St. Louis City 2
30 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
5 : 1
Sporting Kansas City II
25 Aug
Tacoma Defiance
4 : 0
Sporting Kansas City II
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St. Louis City 2

(Away)
20 Sept
St. Louis City 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
14 Sept
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
St. Louis City 2
06 Sept
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 2
St. Louis City 2
29 Aug
St. Louis City 2
1 : 2
North Texas
23 Aug
St. Louis City 2
2 : 3
Houston Dynamo 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)