Sport Picks

Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA

MLS Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City, KS

FC Dallas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sporting Kansas City host FC Dallas in the MLS. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Sporting Kansas City at 1.18 goals for, 2.61 against; FC Dallas at 1.71 for, 1.46 against. Past meetings favor FC Dallas slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 4:3. xG projections (1.63 - 2.19) back FC Dallas to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Sporting Kansas City

20%

Draws

73%

FC Dallas

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Dallas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence

FC Dallas have won more games recently than Sporting Kansas City.
73% — that's where the model lands on FC Dallas taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors FC Dallas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

Sporting Kansas City Clean Sheet 10%

FC Dallas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sporting Kansas City	FC Dallas
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	5	14
Draws	3	7
Losses	20	7
Goals Scored	1.18	1.71
Goals Conceded	2.61	1.46
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 MLS

FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City

4:3

Jun 15, 2025 MLS

Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas

2:4

Mar 30, 2025 MLS

FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City

2:1

Oct 20, 2024 MLS

FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City

2:1

Jul 11, 2024 US Open Cup

Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas

2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Kansas City 10 / 100

FC Dallas 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sporting Kansas City FC Dallas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Dallas Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Sporting Kansas City's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

FC Dallas has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Sporting Kansas City remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Kansas City VS FC Dallas

2 Goals Scored 1.75

2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25

100% Over 1.5 63%

88% Over 2.5 63%

75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History