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Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Minnesota United in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Minnesota United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sporting Kansas City
28%
Draws
22%
Minnesota United
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sporting Kansas City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sporting Kansas City haven't matched Minnesota United's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Sporting Kansas City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Minnesota United have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sporting Kansas City Clean Sheet 10%
Minnesota United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Kansas City Minnesota United
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 7 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United
0:3
Oct 5, 2025 MLS
Minnesota United vs Sporting Kansas City
3:0
Mar 16, 2025 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United
3:3
Feb 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Minnesota United vs Sporting Kansas City
6:0
Sep 22, 2024 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Kansas City 47 / 100
Minnesota United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Kansas City Minnesota United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Minnesota United conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Sporting Kansas City's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Sporting Kansas City remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Kansas City VS Minnesota United
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%