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Sporting Liesti vs Chindia Targoviste - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup
Wed, Dec 2, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Romanian Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Sporting Liesti have averaged 2.62 scored and 1.76 conceded recently, against Chindia Targoviste's 1.71 scored and 1.64 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 2.31 vs 2.25, favoring Sporting Liesti. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sporting Liesti
15%
Draws
54%
Chindia Targoviste
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chindia Targoviste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Sporting Liesti have won more games recently than Chindia Targoviste.
  • Model gives Sporting Liesti a 31% chance of winning this.
  • Sporting Liesti have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sporting Liesti Clean Sheet 10%
Chindia Targoviste Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Liesti Chindia Targoviste
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 12
Draws 2 3
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.62 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Liesti 65 / 100
Chindia Targoviste 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Liesti Chindia Targoviste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Liesti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chindia Targoviste conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Sporting Liesti scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Sporting Liesti went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Chindia Targoviste has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Liesti VS Chindia Targoviste
3.25 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Liesti

(Home)
28 Oct
Sporting Liesti
0 : 0
FC Bacau
24 Oct
Sporting Liesti
7 : 0
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
17 Oct
Axiopolis Cernavoda
1 : 4
Sporting Liesti
10 Oct
Sporting Liesti
0 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
03 Oct
Agricola Borcea
5 : 3
Sporting Liesti
Page 1 of 6

Chindia Targoviste

(Away)
28 Oct
Dinamo Bucuresti
5 : 2
Chindia Targoviste
25 Oct
Chindia Targoviste
3 : 2
CSM Satu Mare
20 Oct
FC ASA Tg. Mures
2 : 4
Chindia Targoviste
10 Oct
Chindia Targoviste
3 : 2
Concordia
03 Oct
Chindia Targoviste
1 : 0
Petrolul
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC UTA Arad 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Rapid Bucuresti 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
3 Corvinul Hunedoara 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
4 FC Botosani 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
5 Politehnica Timisoara 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
6 Minerul Lupeni 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitatea Cluj 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Petrolul 2 1 0 1 6:1 3
3 Concordia 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
4 CFR Cluj 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
5 Sepsi 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
6 Progresul Spartac 2 0 0 2 2:11 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bihor 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
2 FCSB 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
3 Miercurea Ciuc 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
4 Campionii Arges 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
5 CSM Corona Brasov 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
6 Gloria Bistrita 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 2 2 0 0 9:3 6
2 Univ. Craiova 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Voluntari 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 FC Bacau 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
5 Sporting Liesti 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
6 Chindia Targoviste 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)