Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Liesti vs Metalul Buzau

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Dumitru C.
12' Event
Costea V.
19' Event
Oprea D. D.

AI Match Summary

Metalul Buzau in this Romanian Cup matchup, with the score ending 4-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Metalul Buzau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sporting Liesti
6%
Draws
90%
Metalul Buzau
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Metalul Buzau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Metalul Buzau have won more games recently than Sporting Liesti.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Metalul Buzau taking it.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Romanian Cup game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Metalul Buzau have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Sporting Liesti Clean Sheet 10%
Metalul Buzau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Liesti Metalul Buzau
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 19
Draws 3 3
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.38 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2025 Romanian Cup
Sporting Liesti vs Metalul Buzau
4:7
May 18, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Sporting Liesti vs Metalul Buzau
0:4
May 3, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Metalul Buzau vs Sporting Liesti
5:0
Apr 13, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Sporting Liesti vs Metalul Buzau
1:3
Nov 25, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Sporting Liesti vs Metalul Buzau
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Liesti Compare

Top Goalscorer Costea V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nastase T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Metalul Buzau Compare

Top Goalscorer Dumitru C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Oprea D. D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Liesti 10 / 100
Metalul Buzau 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Liesti Metalul Buzau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Liesti found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Metalul Buzau let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Sporting Liesti went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Liesti VS Metalul Buzau
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Campionii Arges33007:49
2CFR Cluj31207:35
3Rapid Bucuresti31116:34
4CSC Dumbravita31023:73
5Metaloglobus Bucharest30216:72
6CSM Slatina30123:81
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Univ. Craiova321010:37
2Gloria Bistrita32014:46
3FC UTA Arad31114:24
4Petrolul31114:64
5FCSB31115:64
6Sanatatea Cluj30033:90
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitatea Cluj32106:37
2Metalul Buzau32019:66
3Otelul31115:64
4Miercurea Ciuc31116:24
5Sepsi30212:32
6Sporting Liesti30127:151
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Bucuresti32105:17
2FC Hermannstadt32014:36
3Farul Constanta31205:15
4FC Botosani31115:64
5Concordia31025:43
6CS Din. Bucuresti30031:100