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Sporting Liesti vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting Liesti host Recolta Gheorghe Doja in the Liga 3 - Seria 4. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Sporting Liesti at 2.5 goals for, 1.97 against; Recolta Gheorghe Doja at 1.79 for, 2.24 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 1.88, favoring Sporting Liesti. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sporting Liesti
15%
Draws
51%
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Recolta Gheorghe Doja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting Liesti come out ahead of Recolta Gheorghe Doja on wins alone.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sporting Liesti Clean Sheet 10%
Recolta Gheorghe Doja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Liesti Recolta Gheorghe Doja
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 1 1
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.5 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Liesti 29 / 100
Recolta Gheorghe Doja 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Liesti Recolta Gheorghe Doja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Liesti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Liesti scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Recolta Gheorghe Doja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Sporting Liesti went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Recolta Gheorghe Doja's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Liesti VS Recolta Gheorghe Doja
3 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Liesti

(Home)
10 Oct
Sporting Liesti
0 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
03 Oct
Agricola Borcea
5 : 3
Sporting Liesti
26 Sept
Sporting Liesti
6 : 1
Otelul 2
23 Sept
Calarasi
3 : 2
Sporting Liesti
19 Sept
Sporting Liesti
5 : 4
Inainte Modelu
Page 1 of 6

Recolta Gheorghe Doja

(Away)
10 Oct
Unirea Branistea
2 : 1
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
03 Oct
Axiopolis Cernavoda
3 : 1
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
26 Sept
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2 : 1
Progresul Fundulea
23 Sept
Agricola Borcea
0 : 1
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
19 Sept
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2 : 1
Otelul 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 8 7 0 1 27:9 21
2 Inainte Modelu 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
3 Progresul Fundulea 8 5 0 3 18:12 15
4 Agigea 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
5 Axiopolis Cernavoda 8 4 1 3 16:15 13
6 Sporting Liesti 8 4 0 4 24:18 12
7 Unirea Branistea 8 4 0 4 15:13 12
8 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 8 4 0 4 14:16 12
9 Calarasi 8 3 1 4 7:12 10
10 Gloria Baneasa 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
11 Otelul 2 8 1 1 6 8:22 4
12 Portul Constanta 8 1 0 7 11:26 3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 (Relegation Group)