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Sporting Lokeren vs SK Beveren

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 Daknamstadion, Lokeren
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Match Events

18' Event
Mertens L.
Assist: Margaritha J.
45'
Janssens C.
52'
Janssen T.

AI Match Summary

SK Beveren in this Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SK Beveren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Sporting Lokeren
15%
Draws
36%
SK Beveren
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Lokeren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • SK Beveren have won more games recently than Sporting Lokeren.
  • Win probability leans Sporting Lokeren's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and SK Beveren have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sporting Lokeren Clean Sheet 20%
SK Beveren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Lokeren SK Beveren
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 12 21
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 2.08 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Sporting Lokeren vs SK Beveren
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Challenger Pro League
SK Beveren vs Sporting Lokeren
1:0
Dec 22, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Sporting Lokeren vs SK Beveren
0:1
Oct 5, 2024 Challenger Pro League
SK Beveren vs Sporting Lokeren
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Lokeren Compare

Top Goalscorer Mabanza V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

SK Beveren Compare

Top Goalscorer Mertens L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Lokeren 85 / 100
SK Beveren 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Lokeren SK Beveren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Lokeren Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sporting Lokeren scored in 92% of their last 25 outings.

SK Beveren has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Sporting Lokeren has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Lokeren VS SK Beveren
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Lokeren

(Home)
14 Aug
RFC Seraing
0 : 2
Sporting Lokeren
08 Aug
Sporting Lokeren
5 : 0
Umm-Salal
01 Aug
Sporting Lokeren
3 : 0
Dender
25 Jul
Sporting Lokeren
1 : 2
NAC Breda
17 Jul
Zelzate
0 : 2
Sporting Lokeren
Page 1 of 5

SK Beveren

(Away)
16 Aug
SK Beveren
1 : 0
Anderlecht
09 Aug
Antwerp
2 : 1
SK Beveren
01 Aug
SK Beveren
1 : 0
Eindhoven FC
25 Jul
Maastricht
3 : 4
SK Beveren
11 Jul
Gent
4 : 0
SK Beveren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SK Beveren 32 28 4 0 74:23 88
2 Kortrijk 32 21 4 7 59:33 67
3 Beerschot VA 32 19 7 6 52:31 64
4 RFC Liege 32 16 5 11 44:39 53
5 Lommel SK 32 15 8 9 59:46 53
6 Patro Eisden 32 14 9 9 44:40 51
7 Eupen 32 12 11 9 44:36 47
8 Sporting Lokeren 32 10 12 10 48:45 42
9 Gent U23 32 12 5 15 42:51 41
10 Lierse SK 32 10 8 14 35:42 38
11 RFC Seraing 32 8 11 13 37:44 35
12 Francs Borains 32 9 8 15 33:47 34
13 RWDM Brussels 32 9 9 14 50:54 33
14 Anderlecht U23 32 7 10 15 46:55 31
15 Genk U23 32 7 10 15 42:59 31
16 Club Brugge U23 32 5 6 21 33:55 21
17 OC Charleroi 32 3 7 22 26:68 16
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