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Sporting Macau vs Lai Chi

Macao Macao

Elite League 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2016 game between Sporting Macau and Lai Chi finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Macau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Sporting Macau
15%
Draws
36%
Lai Chi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Macau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting Macau come out ahead of Lai Chi on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Lai Chi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sporting Macau Clean Sheet 10%
Lai Chi Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Macau Lai Chi
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 6 3
Draws 4 3
Losses 23 24
Goals Scored 1.21 0.93
Goals Conceded 3.97 5.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2018 Elite League
Lai Chi vs Sporting Macau
0:5
Mar 18, 2018 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Lai Chi
6:0
May 28, 2017 Elite League
Lai Chi vs Sporting Macau
1:1
Mar 4, 2017 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Lai Chi
0:3
Mar 26, 2016 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Lai Chi
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Macau 10 / 100
Lai Chi 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Macau Lai Chi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lai Chi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lai Chi let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Lai Chi's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Sporting Macau's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Macau VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
4.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Macau

(Home)
03 Aug
Sporting Macau
1 : 3
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Gala
3 : 3
Sporting Macau
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Sporting Macau
0 : 7
Chiba
28 Jun
Hang Sai
9 : 0
Sporting Macau
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Lai Chi

(Away)
30 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 1
Lai Chi
22 Jun
Lai Chi
0 : 7
Tak Chun Ka I
16 Jun
Lai Chi
0 : 5
Sporting Macau
10 Jun
Policia
2 : 5
Lai Chi
01 Jun
Lai Chi
0 : 6
Monte Carlo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 18 17 1 0 78:4 52
2 Tak Chun Ka I 18 13 2 3 46:12 41
3 Sporting Macau 18 11 4 3 50:15 37
4 Monte Carlo 18 11 2 5 79:19 35
5 Must IPO 18 10 3 5 42:17 33
6 Lai Chi 18 5 4 9 39:46 19
7 Policia 18 3 3 12 17:57 12
8 Kei Lun 18 3 3 12 16:59 12
9 Casa de Portugal 18 2 4 12 19:92 10
10 Chuac Lun 18 0 4 14 10:75 4
Promotion - AFC Cup 2017 (Qualification)