Sport Picks
Sporting Trestina vs San Donato Tavarnelle
Italy
Serie D - Group E 
AI Match Summary
Sporting Trestina play San Donato Tavarnelle in the Serie D - Group E. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sporting Trestina averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. San Donato Tavarnelle averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Sporting Trestina won 2, San Donato Tavarnelle won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 14, 2026 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Sporting Trestina and 0.69 for San Donato Tavarnelle. This points to a Sporting Trestina double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sporting Trestina picked up more points recently compared to San Donato Tavarnelle.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 0.69 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | San Donato Tavarnelle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 12 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting Trestina Compare
San Donato Tavarnelle Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting Trestina scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
San Donato Tavarnelle let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Sporting Trestina went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
San Donato Tavarnelle lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |