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Sporting Trestina vs Sangiovannese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Gaetani D.
90' Event
Bocci N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 game between Sporting Trestina and Sangiovannese finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sangiovannese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sporting Trestina
30%
Draws
23%
Sangiovannese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting Trestina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting Trestina come out ahead of Sangiovannese on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 20%
Sangiovannese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Trestina Sangiovannese
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.15 1
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Sangiovannese
0:2
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Sporting Trestina
1:1
May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Sangiovannese
3:1
Dec 20, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Sporting Trestina
0:0
Feb 12, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Sporting Trestina
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Trestina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sangiovannese Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaetani D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bocci N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Trestina 31 / 100
Sangiovannese 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Trestina Sangiovannese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Trestina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Trestina's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sangiovannese conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Sangiovannese's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Trestina VS Sangiovannese
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Trestina

(Home)
27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0
Termoli
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1
Fossombrone
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0
Sporting Trestina
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5
Vigor Senigallia
Page 1 of 7

Sangiovannese

(Away)
26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3
Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0
Sangiovannese
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2
Livorno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Livorno 34 21 9 4 74:44 72
2 Fulgens Foligno 34 17 9 8 61:44 60
3 Seravezza Pozzi 34 16 11 7 53:39 59
4 Ghiviborgo 34 17 4 13 65:57 55
5 Orvietana 34 15 8 11 44:41 53
6 Siena 34 14 10 10 35:32 52
7 Grosseto 34 13 11 10 39:34 50
8 Ostiamare 34 12 9 13 49:53 45
9 Poggibonsi 34 12 7 15 32:36 43
10 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 10 13 26:26 43
11 Montevarchi 34 9 14 11 36:39 41
12 Flaminia 34 10 10 14 42:43 40
13 Follonica Gavorrano 34 10 10 14 40:45 40
14 Terranuova Traiana 34 8 15 11 34:47 39
15 Figline 34 9 11 14 29:33 38
16 Sporting Trestina 34 9 11 14 35:45 38
17 Sangiovannese 34 9 9 16 30:38 36
18 Fezzanese 34 6 8 20 35:63 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)