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Sporting Trestina vs Santegidiese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting Trestina host Santegidiese in the Serie D - Group F. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Santegidiese have shipped 1.89 goals a game lately, while Sporting Trestina have conceded 1.47 and scored 1. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.19 - 1.38) back Sporting Trestina to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sporting Trestina
15%
Draws
49%
Santegidiese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santegidiese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting Trestina come out ahead of Santegidiese on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sporting Trestina's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 17%
Santegidiese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Trestina Santegidiese
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 8 2
Draws 8 2
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1 0.78
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Trestina 36 / 100
Santegidiese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Trestina Santegidiese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santegidiese conceded in 89% of 9 recent games.

Sporting Trestina scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Santegidiese has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Solid form: Sporting Trestina remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Trestina VS Santegidiese
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Trestina

(Home)
17 Oct
Pietralunga
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
11 Oct
Sporting Trestina
0 : 2
Teramo
04 Oct
Ancona
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0
Termoli
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 6

Santegidiese

(Away)
18 Oct
Santegidiese
0 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
11 Oct
Aquila Calcio
2 : 1
Santegidiese
04 Oct
Santegidiese
1 : 3
Giulianova
27 Sept
Maceratese
1 : 1
Santegidiese
20 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 0
Angelana
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 8 6 2 0 17:5 20
2 Teramo 8 6 1 1 20:11 19
3 Vigor Senigallia 8 5 1 2 17:12 16
4 Foligno 8 5 1 2 9:7 16
5 Notaresco Calcio 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
6 Ancona 8 4 2 2 12:8 14
7 Atletico Ascoli 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
8 Fossombrone 8 4 1 3 10:13 13
9 Montecchio Gallo 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
10 Giulianova 8 3 1 4 11:11 10
11 Lanciano FC 8 3 1 4 14:15 10
12 Termoli 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
13 Santegidiese 8 2 2 4 7:11 8
14 Pietralunga 8 2 2 4 5:9 8
15 Maceratese 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
16 Recanatese 8 1 3 4 11:14 6
17 Angelana 8 1 1 6 5:12 4
18 Sporting Trestina 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)