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Sporting Uxama vs La Virgen

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Virgen in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Virgen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Sporting Uxama
11%
Draws
80%
La Virgen
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: La Virgen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to La Virgen lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Uxama.
  • La Virgen are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • La Virgen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Sporting Uxama Clean Sheet 20%
La Virgen Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Uxama La Virgen
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 2 13
Draws 2 7
Losses 24 15
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Sporting Uxama vs La Virgen
0:1
Sep 2, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Sporting Uxama
4:1
Apr 8, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Sporting Uxama
1:1
Nov 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Sporting Uxama vs La Virgen
0:3
Feb 25, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Sporting Uxama
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Uxama 12 / 100
La Virgen 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Uxama La Virgen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: La Virgen has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

La Virgen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 35 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Sporting Uxama scored in 32% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS La Virgen
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Uxama

(Home)
19 May
Sporting Uxama
0 : 4
Zamora
11 May
Burgos CF B
5 : 2
Sporting Uxama
04 May
Sporting Uxama
3 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
28 Apr
Almazan
5 : 2
Sporting Uxama
18 Apr
Sporting Uxama
2 : 4
Atletico Astorga
Page 1 of 6

La Virgen

(Away)
10 May
CD Mojados
2 : 1
La Virgen
01 May
La Virgen
1 : 2
Almazan
25 Apr
Palencia CF
3 : 2
La Virgen
18 Apr
La Virgen
0 : 1
Becerril
11 Apr
Arandina
3 : 1
La Virgen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zamora38279294:2290
2Gimnastica Segoviana38269377:2487
3Arandina382411371:1683
4Numancia B38248669:2580
5Atletico Astorga38245986:3577
6Real Avila381911853:3268
7Palencia CA381841661:5558
8Leonesa B381691357:4757
9La Virgen381661641:5554
10Burgos CF B3814121242:4354
11Atletico Tordesillas381581541:4553
12Almazan3813101549:5649
13Santa Marta Tormes389101936:5837
14Bembibre386171527:4635
15La Baneza388102038:7234
16Bupolsa387112036:5932
17La Granja386102235:8128
18Briviesca384151928:6827
19CD Cebrerena384132129:6525
20Sporting Uxama38443024:9016
21Real Burgos CF00000:00
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)