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Sporting vs La Fama

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division di Honor game between Sporting and La Fama finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Fama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sporting
35%
Draws
25%
La Fama
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sporting

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting come out ahead of La Fama on wins alone.
  • 25% — that's where the model lands on La Fama taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Sporting Clean Sheet 10%
La Fama Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting La Fama
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.6 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Division di Honor
Sporting vs La Fama
2:2
May 23, 2026 Division di Honor
La Fama vs Sporting
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Division di Honor
Sporting vs La Fama
1:3
Dec 21, 2025 Division di Honor
La Fama vs Sporting
2:4
May 7, 2023 Division di Honor
La Fama vs Sporting
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting 22 / 100
La Fama 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting La Fama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Fama Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

La Fama let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sporting stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting VS La Fama
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting

(Home)
18 Jul
Britannia
3 : 1
Sporting
16 Jun
SV Dakota
0 : 2
Sporting
10 Jun
Britannia
0 : 0
Sporting
31 May
Sporting
2 : 2
La Fama
23 May
La Fama
1 : 2
Sporting
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La Fama

(Away)
17 Jun
La Fama
2 : 2
Britannia
11 Jun
La Fama
0 : 2
SV Dakota
31 May
Sporting
2 : 2
La Fama
23 May
La Fama
1 : 2
Sporting
16 May
La Fama
2 : 0
Racing Club Aruba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Britannia 10 8 0 2 17:8 24
2 SV Dakota 10 6 2 2 27:10 20
3 Sporting 10 4 1 5 13:24 13
4 La Fama 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
5 Bubali 10 3 3 4 13:17 12
6 Racing Club Aruba 10 0 3 7 12:22 3
Promotion - Division di Honor (Final Group)