Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting W vs Albergaria/Durit W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Pires Neto C. T.
Assist: Fonseca B. P.
13' Event
Correia M.
Assist: Fonseca B. P.
20' Event
Correia M.
Assist: Pires Neto C. T.

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 game between Sporting W and Albergaria/Durit W finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sporting W
6%
Draws
4%
Albergaria/Durit W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sporting W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting W come out ahead of Albergaria/Durit W on wins alone.
  • Sporting W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sporting W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Sporting W Clean Sheet 68%
Albergaria/Durit W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting W Albergaria/Durit W
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 18 3
Draws 11 6
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Albergaria/Durit W vs Sporting W
0:6
Nov 16, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Albergaria/Durit W
8:0
Mar 16, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Albergaria/Durit W
5:0
Jan 20, 2024 Taça de Portugal Women
Sporting W vs Albergaria/Durit W
8:0
Nov 12, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Albergaria/Durit W vs Sporting W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting W Compare

Top Goalscorer Capeta A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Correia M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Albergaria/Durit W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting W 95 / 100
Albergaria/Durit W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting W Albergaria/Durit W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Albergaria/Durit W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sporting W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting W VS Albergaria/Durit W
2 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SL Benfica W22202065:1062
2Sporting W22173266:954
3Braga W22133651:1742
4Torreense W22132746:2241
5Valadares Gaia W22122844:2438
6Racing Power W2297635:2334
7Maritimo W22931028:2630
8Damaiense W22821222:2926
9Famalicao W22721332:5423
10Estoril Praia W22541328:4919
11Albergaria/Durit W22321713:6011
12Vilaverdense W2200224:1110