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Sporting W vs Amora W Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Capeta A.
71' Event
Correia M.
82' Event
Correia M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2022/2023 game between Sporting W and Amora W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Sporting W
30%
Draws
8%
Amora W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Amora W haven't matched Sporting W's recent run of results.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Sporting W taking it.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sporting W have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sporting W Clean Sheet 20%
Amora W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting W Amora W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 10 3
Losses 7 23
Goals Scored 1.94 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.94 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Amora W
3:0
Oct 16, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Amora W vs Sporting W
0:8
Nov 13, 2021 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Amora W
8:0
Sep 27, 2020 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Amora W
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting W Compare

Top Goalscorer Correia M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Capeta A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Amora W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting W 85 / 100
Amora W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting W Amora W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amora W let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Sporting W scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Sporting W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting W VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting W

(Home)
30 Sept
Sporting W
2 : 2
Brondby W
27 Sept
Braga W
0 : 0
Sporting W
23 Sept
Brondby W
4 : 1
Sporting W
18 Sept
Sporting W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
12 Sept
Sporting W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
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Amora W

(Away)
09 Jun
Amora W
0 : 1
Vilaverdense W
26 May
Vilaverdense W
1 : 1
Amora W
21 May
Amora W
1 : 2
SL Benfica W
14 May
Vilaverdense W
3 : 0
Amora W
07 May
Torreense W
2 : 1
Amora W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 22 21 0 1 99:7 63
2 Sporting W 22 17 3 2 67:14 54
3 Braga W 22 16 3 3 60:26 51
4 Famalicao W 22 12 4 6 48:24 40
5 Damaiense W 22 10 6 6 35:34 36
6 Vilaverdense W 22 9 1 12 34:47 25
7 Torreense W 22 6 4 12 25:47 22
8 Albergaria/Durit W 22 5 6 11 21:54 21
9 Valadares Gaia W 22 5 5 12 17:38 20
10 Ouriense W 22 4 5 13 16:43 17
11 Maritimo W 22 5 2 15 29:58 17
12 Amora W 22 2 1 19 12:71 7
Promotion - Champions League Women 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2022/2023 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2022/2023 (Relegation - Play Offs)