Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting W vs Maritimo W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Holtz J.
63' Event
Bonsegundo F.
Assist: Hernandez-Gray J.
67'
Fonseca B. P.

AI Match Summary

Sporting W in this Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sporting W
35%
Draws
35%
Maritimo W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sporting W lately — more wins on the board than Maritimo W.
  • 30% — that's where the model lands on Sporting W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sporting W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sporting W Clean Sheet 68%
Maritimo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting W Maritimo W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 11 5
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.74 1.07
Goals Conceded 1 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Maritimo W
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Sporting W
0:4
May 11, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Sporting W
0:3
Feb 15, 2025 Taça de Portugal Women
Sporting W vs Maritimo W
3:0
Jan 5, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Maritimo W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonsegundo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Maritimo W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting W 77 / 100
Maritimo W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting W Maritimo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting W found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Maritimo W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Sporting W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting W VS Maritimo W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting W

(Home)
16 Aug
Sporting W
1 : 1
London City Lionesses W
08 Aug
St. Polten W
2 : 1
Sporting W
05 Aug
Sporting W
5 : 0
SeaSters Odesa W
29 Jul
Sevilla W
0 : 0
Sporting W
10 May
Sporting W
0 : 0
Racing Power W
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Maritimo W

(Away)
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0
Maritimo W
24 May
Maritimo W
1 : 0
Albergaria/Durit W
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
03 May
Damaiense W
1 : 2
Maritimo W
25 Apr
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 18 15 3 0 58:11 48
2 Sporting W 18 10 5 3 35:16 35
3 Torreense W 18 10 2 6 29:22 32
4 Valadares Gaia W 18 7 5 6 21:22 26
5 Braga W 18 6 6 6 26:21 24
6 Vitoria Guimaraes W 18 4 9 5 16:23 21
7 Racing Power W 18 4 6 8 16:23 18
8 Rio Ave W 18 4 5 9 10:18 17
9 Maritimo W 18 4 2 12 19:40 14
10 Damaiense W 18 2 5 11 17:51 11
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)