Sport Picks

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Sporting W vs Ouriense W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Silva Di.
Assist: Smith O.
16' Event
Silva Di.
Assist: Smith O.
20' Event
Capeta A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 game between Sporting W and Ouriense W finished 10-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Sporting W
35%
Draws
9%
Ouriense W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sporting W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sporting W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sporting W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sporting W Clean Sheet 20%
Ouriense W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting W Ouriense W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 11 5
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 2 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Sporting W
0:3
Jan 6, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Ouriense W
10:0
Jan 29, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Ouriense W
4:1
Dec 18, 2022 Taça de Portugal Women
Ouriense W vs Sporting W
0:2
Sep 10, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Sporting W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting W Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva Di.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Capeta A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Ouriense W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting W 85 / 100
Ouriense W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting W Ouriense W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting W's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ouriense W conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Sporting W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting W VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting W

(Home)
16 Aug
Sporting W
1 : 1
London City Lionesses W
08 Aug
St. Polten W
2 : 1
Sporting W
05 Aug
Sporting W
5 : 0
SeaSters Odesa W
29 Jul
Sevilla W
0 : 0
Sporting W
10 May
Sporting W
0 : 0
Racing Power W
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Ouriense W

(Away)
11 May
Ouriense W
0 : 2
Vilaverdense W
05 May
Ouriense W
0 : 3
Sporting W
28 Apr
Ouriense W
2 : 2
Braga W
13 Apr
Damaiense W
2 : 1
Ouriense W
24 Mar
Ouriense W
2 : 3
Torreense W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 22 18 2 2 66:12 56
2 Sporting W 22 17 3 2 68:10 54
3 Racing Power W 22 13 4 5 34:13 43
4 Damaiense W 22 11 4 7 31:33 37
5 Braga W 22 11 3 8 47:30 36
6 Valadares Gaia W 22 11 3 8 24:19 36
7 Maritimo W 22 10 1 11 33:41 31
8 Torreense W 22 8 6 8 33:39 30
9 Albergaria/Durit W 22 5 2 15 18:51 17
10 Famalicao W 22 5 1 16 18:41 16
11 Vilaverdense W 22 3 3 16 15:52 12
12 Ouriense W 22 2 4 16 15:61 10
Promotion - Champions League Women 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)