Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting W vs Rio Ave W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete
Sporting W Logo

Sporting W

2 - 1
FT
Rio Ave W Logo

Rio Ave W

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Curran C.
Assist: Contente M.
60'
Sub
Bravo A. In: Bonsegundo F.
Out: Bravo A.
60'
Sub
Santiago C. In: Hernandez-Gray J.
Out: Santiago C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sporting W in this Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sporting W
20%
Draws
23%
Rio Ave W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sporting W lately — more wins on the board than Rio Ave W.
  • Sporting W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sporting W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sporting W Clean Sheet 68%
Rio Ave W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting W Rio Ave W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.68 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Rio Ave W
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Rio Ave W vs Sporting W
1:3
Oct 19, 2025 Taça da Liga Women
Rio Ave W vs Sporting W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting W Compare

Top Goalscorer Barron A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Encarnacao T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rio Ave W Compare

Top Goalscorer Curran C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting W 95 / 100
Rio Ave W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting W Rio Ave W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Sporting W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Rio Ave W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting W VS Rio Ave W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting W

(Home)
18 Sept
Sporting W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
12 Sept
Sporting W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
16 Aug
Sporting W
1 : 1
London City Lionesses W
08 Aug
St. Polten W
2 : 1
Sporting W
05 Aug
Sporting W
5 : 0
SeaSters Odesa W
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Rio Ave W

(Away)
18 Sept
Rio Ave W
0 : 2
SL Benfica W
13 Sept
Torreense W
3 : 0
Rio Ave W
31 May
Gil Vicente W
0 : 2
Rio Ave W
23 May
Rio Ave W
1 : 1
Gil Vicente W
10 May
Rio Ave W
0 : 1
SL Benfica W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 18 15 3 0 58:11 48
2 Sporting W 18 10 5 3 35:16 35
3 Torreense W 18 10 2 6 29:22 32
4 Valadares Gaia W 18 7 5 6 21:22 26
5 Braga W 18 6 6 6 26:21 24
6 Vitoria Guimaraes W 18 4 9 5 16:23 21
7 Racing Power W 18 4 6 8 16:23 18
8 Rio Ave W 18 4 5 9 10:18 17
9 Maritimo W 18 4 2 12 19:40 14
10 Damaiense W 18 2 5 11 17:51 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)