Sport Picks

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Sportive Kebili vs Jeunesse Sportive

Tunisia Tunisia

Tunisia Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sportive Kebili play Jeunesse Sportive in the Tunisia Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sportive Kebili averaged 0.83 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Jeunesse Sportive averaged 0.81 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Sportive Kebili won 0, Jeunesse Sportive won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Sportive Kebili and 0.81 for Jeunesse Sportive. This points to a Jeunesse Sportive double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sportive Kebili
19%
Draws
41%
Jeunesse Sportive
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Jeunesse Sportive

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Sportive Kebili picked up more points recently compared to Jeunesse Sportive.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Sportive Kebili Clean Sheet 26%
Jeunesse Sportive Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 45%
Second Half Goal 48%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportive Kebili Jeunesse Sportive
Matches Played 6 31
Wins 3 11
Draws 0 7
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 0.83 0.81
Goals Conceded 2.17 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tunisia Cup
Sportive Kebili vs Jeunesse Sportive
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportive Kebili Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Jeunesse Sportive Compare

Top Goalscorer Belhaj O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportive Kebili 41 / 100
Jeunesse Sportive 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportive Kebili Jeunesse Sportive

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jeunesse Sportive or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sportive Kebili attacking → ← attacking Jeunesse Sportive

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportive Kebili scored in 67% of their last 6 games.

Jeunesse Sportive let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Sportive Kebili went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Jeunesse Sportive lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 40
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00