Sport Picks
Sportivo Ameliano vs Recoleta
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción 
Match Events
21'
21'
Baez W.
Assist: Falcon J.
35'
35'
Vera E.
Assist: Cabral R.
44'
44'
Ocampos C.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with Sportivo Ameliano advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Recoleta carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Recoleta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Recoleta, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 17%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 11, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Recoleta
3:2
Mar 9, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Sep 29, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Recoleta
1:4
Jul 21, 2025 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano
3:1
May 10, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Recoleta
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportivo Ameliano Compare
Top Goalscorer Vera E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ocampos C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Recoleta Compare
Top Goalscorer Baez W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wlk A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Ameliano 31 / 100
Recoleta 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Ameliano Recoleta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Sportivo Ameliano scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Recoleta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.
Solid form: Sportivo Ameliano remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Ameliano VS Recoleta
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Ameliano
(Home) 24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
16 May
Guarani
1 : 0 Sportivo Ameliano
11 May
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 2 Recoleta
03 May
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
24 Apr
Cerro Porteno
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
11 May
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 2 Recoleta
20 Apr
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
05 Apr
Sportivo Ameliano
2 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
27 Mar
Sportivo Ameliano
2 : 0 Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
Recoleta
(Away) 27 May
San Lorenzo
0 : 1 Recoleta
23 May
Recoleta
2 : 1 Guarani
20 May
Dep. Cuenca
2 : 2 Recoleta
15 May
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 2 Recoleta
11 May
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 2 Recoleta
Page 1 of 7
27 May
San Lorenzo
0 : 1 Recoleta
20 May
Dep. Cuenca
2 : 2 Recoleta
15 May
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 2 Recoleta
11 May
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 2 Recoleta
24 Apr
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Recoleta
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
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