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Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Rodriguez W.
Assist: Vera F.
46'
Sub
Riquelme H. In: Ayala W.
Out: Riquelme H.
58'
Sub
Ocampos C. In: Servian A.
Out: Ocampos C.

AI Match Summary

Sportivo Ameliano in this Copa de Primera matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportivo Ameliano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sportivo Ameliano
44%
Draws
20%
2 de Mayo
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sportivo Ameliano lately — more wins on the board than 2 de Mayo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa de Primera fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 20%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Ameliano 2 de Mayo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 11 10
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo
3:0
Nov 10, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo
2:3
Aug 23, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Apr 21, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Ameliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vera E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

2 de Mayo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Ameliano 36 / 100
2 de Mayo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Ameliano 2 de Mayo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Sportivo Ameliano scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: 2 de Mayo conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Sportivo Ameliano remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Ameliano VS 2 de Mayo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115