Sport Picks
Sportivo Ameliano vs Guarani
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción 
Match Events
12'
12'
Benitez J.
32'
32'
Romero N.
46'
46'
Sub
Romero N. In: Ramirez I.
Out: Romero N.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sportivo Ameliano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Guarani have managed 0.88 goals a game lately — Sportivo Ameliano are scoring more at 1.25.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Sportivo Ameliano taking it.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | Guarani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Guarani
0:0
Oct 12, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Guarani
1:1
Jul 31, 2025 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano
4:1
May 18, 2025 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Ameliano 42 / 100
Guarani 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Ameliano Guarani
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Ameliano found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Guarani conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Sportivo Ameliano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Ameliano VS Guarani
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Ameliano
(Home) 25 Jul
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
16 May
Guarani
1 : 0 Sportivo Ameliano
11 May
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 2 Recoleta
03 May
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
11 May
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 2 Recoleta
20 Apr
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
05 Apr
Sportivo Ameliano
2 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 3
Guarani
(Away) 26 Jul
Guarani
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
23 May
Recoleta
2 : 1 Guarani
16 May
Guarani
1 : 0 Sportivo Ameliano
11 May
Cerro Porteno
0 : 0 Guarani
03 May
Guarani
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Recoleta
2 : 1 Guarani
11 May
Cerro Porteno
0 : 0 Guarani
26 Apr
2 de Mayo
2 : 2 Guarani
10 Apr
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Guarani
01 Apr
Rubio Nu
0 : 2 Guarani
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
