Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Vera E.
(Penalty)
13'
Santa C. R.
20' Event
Benitez H. A.
Assist: Ramirez Antunez R. C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa de Primera matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Sportivo Ameliano
33%
Draws
40%
Nacional Asuncion
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nacional Asuncion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Nacional Asuncion have won more games recently than Sportivo Ameliano.
  • Win probability leans Nacional Asuncion's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Ameliano Nacional Asuncion
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 11 11
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion
1:1
Feb 19, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Nov 20, 2025 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
2:0
Aug 29, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion
3:0
May 4, 2025 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Ameliano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Nacional Asuncion Compare

Top Goalscorer Benitez H. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Ameliano 28 / 100
Nacional Asuncion 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Ameliano Nacional Asuncion

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sportivo Ameliano scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Nacional Asuncion conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Sportivo Ameliano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Ameliano VS Nacional Asuncion
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115