Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia Asuncion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Olimpia Asuncion have shipped 1.11 goals a game lately, while Sportivo Ameliano have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.17. Head-to-head, Sportivo Ameliano have won 0 to Olimpia Asuncion's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (0.88 - 1.75) back Olimpia Asuncion to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sportivo Ameliano
30%
Draws
39%
Olimpia Asuncion
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olimpia Asuncion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Olimpia Asuncion come out ahead of Sportivo Ameliano on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Olimpia Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Olimpia Asuncion, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 12%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Ameliano Olimpia Asuncion
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 9 22
Draws 13 4
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
2:1
May 3, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia Asuncion
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Ameliano 30 / 100
Olimpia Asuncion 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Ameliano Olimpia Asuncion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Ameliano scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Olimpia Asuncion has conceded goals in 67% of their last 36 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Sportivo Ameliano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Ameliano VS Olimpia Asuncion
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportivo Ameliano

(Home)
06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2
Rubio Nu
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0
San Lorenzo
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2
Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6

Olimpia Asuncion

(Away)
06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1
Olimpia Asuncion
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3
Olimpia Asuncion
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 13 8 2 3 22:10 26
2 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
3 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
4 Nacional Asuncion 13 6 5 2 20:8 23
5 Sportivo Trinidense 13 7 2 4 23:13 23
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Sportivo Ameliano 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
8 Cerro Porteno 13 5 2 6 15:14 17
9 Sp. Luqueno 13 4 1 8 14:24 13
10 Rubio Nu 13 3 3 7 15:24 12
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 13 0 3 10 4:22 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)