Sport Picks
Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción 
Match Events
29'
29'
Olmedo C.
47'
47'
Benitez J.
54'
54'
Lezcano R.
Assist: Franco Zayas A. F.
AI Match Summary
Olimpia Asuncion in this Copa de Primera tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Olimpia Asuncion lately — more wins on the board than Sportivo Ameliano.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Olimpia Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Olimpia Asuncion, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 17%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | Olimpia Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 19 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia Asuncion
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportivo Ameliano Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Olimpia Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Lezcano R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Ameliano 31 / 100
Olimpia Asuncion 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Ameliano Olimpia Asuncion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick OLI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Ameliano found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Sportivo Ameliano went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Olimpia Asuncion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Ameliano VS Olimpia Asuncion
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Ameliano
(Home) 24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
16 May
Guarani
1 : 0 Sportivo Ameliano
11 May
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 2 Recoleta
03 May
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
24 Apr
Cerro Porteno
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
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24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
11 May
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 2 Recoleta
20 Apr
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
05 Apr
Sportivo Ameliano
2 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
27 Mar
Sportivo Ameliano
2 : 0 Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
Olimpia Asuncion
(Away) 17 Jul
Flamengo RJ
4 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
27 May
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 1 A. Italiano
23 May
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
20 May
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 1 Vasco
15 May
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 2 Recoleta
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Flamengo RJ
4 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
23 May
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
10 May
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Olimpia Asuncion
07 May
Barracas Central
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
30 Apr
Vasco
3 : 0 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)