Sport Picks
Sportivo Ameliano vs Rubio Nu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción 
Match Events
18'
18'
Alvarez Benitez P.
35'
35'
Fretes S.
Assist: Ruiz Diaz R.
40'
40'
Falabella A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sportivo Ameliano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sportivo Ameliano lately — more wins on the board than Rubio Nu.
- Model gives Sportivo Ameliano a 47% chance of winning this.
- Sportivo Ameliano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Rubio Nu, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 68%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | Rubio Nu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 13 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 6, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Rubio Nu
1:2
Jul 28, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Mar 23, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:2
Jan 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Rubio Nu
2:2
Oct 17, 2021 Division Intermedia
Rubio Nu vs Sportivo Ameliano
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportivo Ameliano Compare
Top Goalscorer Torales R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Rubio Nu Compare
Top Goalscorer Fretes S.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Ameliano 50 / 100
Rubio Nu 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Ameliano Rubio Nu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sportivo Ameliano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Ameliano's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Rubio Nu has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Sportivo Ameliano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Ameliano VS Rubio Nu
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Ameliano
(Home) 06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Rubio Nu
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Rubio Nu
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
02 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
0 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
22 Aug
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 1 Recoleta
08 Aug
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0 Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 3
Rubio Nu
(Away) 06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Rubio Nu
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2 2 de Mayo
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Rubio Nu
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
06 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
4 : 2 Rubio Nu
28 Aug
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
