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Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Trinidense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Gonzalez C.
Assist: Mana N.
35'
Mana N.
51'
Canete A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sportivo Ameliano
30%
Draws
39%
Sportivo Trinidense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sportivo Trinidense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Sportivo Trinidense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Sportivo Trinidense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sportivo Trinidense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41.2%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 19%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Trinidense
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 13 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Trinidense
0:3
May 24, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:2
Mar 19, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Nov 26, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Trinidense
0:0
Sep 8, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Ameliano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sportivo Trinidense Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abreu L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Ameliano 36 / 100
Sportivo Trinidense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Trinidense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sportivo Trinidense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Ameliano scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Sportivo Trinidense let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sportivo Ameliano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Ameliano VS Sportivo Trinidense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportivo Ameliano

(Home)
06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2
Rubio Nu
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0
San Lorenzo
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2
Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6

Sportivo Trinidense

(Away)
10 Oct
San Lorenzo
1 : 1
Sportivo Trinidense
05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1
Cerro Porteno
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1
Guarani
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3
Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 13 8 2 3 22:10 26
2 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
3 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
4 Sportivo Trinidense 14 7 3 4 24:14 24
5 Nacional Asuncion 13 6 5 2 20:8 23
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Cerro Porteno 14 6 2 6 18:14 20
8 Sportivo Ameliano 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
9 Sp. Luqueno 14 4 1 9 14:27 13
10 Rubio Nu 13 3 3 7 15:24 12
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 14 0 4 10 5:23 4
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)