Sport Picks
Sportivo Belgrano vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio Oscar C. Boero, San Francisco 
Match Events
11'
11'
Lesman G.
22'
22'
Pastorelli A.
30'
30'
Flores B.
AI Match Summary
Sportivo Belgrano in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportivo Belgrano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sportivo Belgrano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sportivo Belgrano haven't matched 9 de Julio Rafaela's recent run of results.
- Sportivo Belgrano are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Sportivo Belgrano Clean Sheet 68%
9 de Julio Rafaela Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Belgrano | 9 de Julio Rafaela |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano
0:2
Mar 21, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Belgrano vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
3:0
Sep 1, 2025 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano
0:0
Jun 7, 2025 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano
3:1
Apr 7, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Belgrano vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportivo Belgrano Compare
Top Goalscorer Lesman G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pastorelli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
9 de Julio Rafaela Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Belgrano 77 / 100
9 de Julio Rafaela 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Belgrano 9 de Julio Rafaela
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Belgrano went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
9 de Julio Rafaela let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Difficult form: 9 de Julio Rafaela registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Belgrano VS 9 de Julio Rafaela
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Belgrano
(Home) 12 Jul
Sportivo Las Parejas
0 : 0 Sportivo Belgrano
05 Jul
Sportivo Belgrano
1 : 1 Independiente Chivilcoy
28 Jun
El Linqueno
1 : 1 Sportivo Belgrano
20 Jun
Douglas Haig
0 : 0 Sportivo Belgrano
15 Jun
Sportivo Belgrano
1 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Sportivo Belgrano
1 : 1 Independiente Chivilcoy
15 Jun
Sportivo Belgrano
1 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
31 May
Sportivo Belgrano
1 : 0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
10 May
Sportivo Belgrano
2 : 0 Sportivo Las Parejas
26 Apr
Sportivo Belgrano
1 : 1 El Linqueno
Page 1 of 3
9 de Julio Rafaela
(Away) 13 Jul
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
05 Jul
Gimnasia E.R.
3 : 0 9 de Julio Rafaela
28 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
2 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
22 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
3 : 2 El Linqueno
13 Jun
Atletico Escobar
2 : 0 9 de Julio Rafaela
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Gimnasia E.R.
3 : 0 9 de Julio Rafaela
13 Jun
Atletico Escobar
2 : 0 9 de Julio Rafaela
31 May
Independiente Chivilcoy
2 : 2 9 de Julio Rafaela
10 May
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
0 : 0 9 de Julio Rafaela
26 Apr
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 0 9 de Julio Rafaela
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportivo Belgrano | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 19:7 | 29 |
| 2 | Douglas Haig | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 20:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 15:10 | 26 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 26 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 25 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 11:12 | 23 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19:27 | 21 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:21 | 18 |
| 9 | Gimnasia E.R. | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 12:17 | 17 |
| 10 | El Linqueno | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13:21 | 16 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24:19 | 27 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 13:6 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 26 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 16:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:11 | 22 |
| 6 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19:22 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 13:18 | 16 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10:22 | 12 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 15:11 | 22 |
| 3 | Biblioteca Atenas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 12:13 | 22 |
| 4 | Huracan Las Heras | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 11:13 | 22 |
| 5 | Fundacion Amigos | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 17:14 | 20 |
| 6 | Costa Brava | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 12:12 | 18 |
| 7 | San Martin Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 10:14 | 18 |
| 8 | Juventud U.U. | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10:10 | 16 |
| 9 | Deportivo Rincon | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:16 | 16 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 11:4 | 28 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 14:8 | 25 |
| 4 | Villa Mitre | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 11:5 | 22 |
| 5 | Germinal | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 7:12 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:15 | 17 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11:20 | 14 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 9 | Circulo Deportivo | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7:15 | 12 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)