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Sportivo Belgrano vs Sarmiento de La Banda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Oscar C. Boero, San Francisco
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sportivo Belgrano have averaged 0.86 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Sarmiento de La Banda's 0.86 scored and 1.24 conceded. Head-to-head, Sportivo Belgrano have won 1 to Sarmiento de La Banda's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.19, favoring Sportivo Belgrano. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sportivo Belgrano
15%
Draws
42%
Sarmiento de La Banda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sportivo Belgrano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sportivo Belgrano come out ahead of Sarmiento de La Banda on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Sportivo Belgrano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sportivo Belgrano, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Sportivo Belgrano Clean Sheet 20%
Sarmiento de La Banda Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Belgrano Sarmiento de La Banda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.86 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano
3:0
Sep 7, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Belgrano vs Sarmiento de La Banda
4:1
Aug 31, 2024 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Belgrano 36 / 100
Sarmiento de La Banda 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Belgrano Sarmiento de La Banda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarmiento de La Banda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Sarmiento de La Banda lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Sportivo Belgrano's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sarmiento de La Banda has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Belgrano VS Sarmiento de La Banda
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportivo Belgrano

(Home)
13 Sept
Sportivo Belgrano
0 : 4
Douglas Haig
06 Sept
Sol de America
2 : 0
Sportivo Belgrano
30 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
2 : 0
Bartolome Mitre
23 Aug
Sarmiento de La Banda
3 : 0
Sportivo Belgrano
17 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
0 : 2
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
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Sarmiento de La Banda

(Away)
20 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
0 : 2
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
13 Sept
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0
Sarmiento de La Banda
06 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 4
9 de Julio Rafaela
30 Aug
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 0
Sarmiento de La Banda
23 Aug
Sarmiento de La Banda
3 : 0
Sportivo Belgrano
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bartolome Mitre -
Boca Unidos -
Gimnasia Chivilcoy -
Defensores de Vilelas -
Sarmiento de La Banda -
Sportivo Belgrano -
TBD -
TBD -
Huracan Las Heras 0
Juventud Antoniana 3
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo -
Sportivo Las Parejas -
Argentino MM 2
San Martin Mendoza 0
Douglas Haig -
El Linqueno -
Kimberley -
Deportivo Rincon -
Sol de America -
Juventud U.U. -
Villa Mitre -
Costa Brava -
Biblioteca Atenas -
Fundacion Amigos -
9 de Julio Rafaela -
Gimnasia E.R. -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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