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Sportivo Carapegua vs 3 de Febrero

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Gimenez A.
45'
Mendoza Ramirez T.
45'
Mendoza Ramirez T.

AI Match Summary

3 de Febrero in this Division Intermedia 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored 3 de Febrero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sportivo Carapegua
39%
Draws
31%
3 de Febrero
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • 3 de Febrero haven't matched Sportivo Carapegua's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division Intermedia 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 68%
3 de Febrero Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Carapegua 3 de Febrero
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2024 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs 3 de Febrero
2:3
May 25, 2024 Division Intermedia
3 de Febrero vs Sportivo Carapegua
0:3
Jul 17, 2023 Division Intermedia
3 de Febrero vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:3
Apr 8, 2023 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs 3 de Febrero
1:2
Aug 9, 2015 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs 3 de Febrero
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Gimenez A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

3 de Febrero Compare

Top Goalscorer Amarilla J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Carapegua 41 / 100
3 de Febrero 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Carapegua 3 de Febrero

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Sportivo Carapegua found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: 3 de Febrero conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Sportivo Carapegua went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Carapegua VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Recoleta30198357:2065
2Atletico Tembetary30195646:2462
3Sportivo Carapegua30177645:2758
4San Lorenzo301210835:3146
5Resistencia301361135:3545
6Encarnacion FC301281043:3944
7Deportivo Santani301191035:3342
8Rubio Nu301191033:3542
9Guairena FC301011930:2538
1012 de Junio301081235:3538
11Independiente FBC301081233:3738
12Martin Ledesma308121028:3536
13Fernando de la Mora308111131:3335
143 de Febrero306111324:3729
15Pastoreo30651928:5023
16Colegiales30242428:7010