Sport Picks

Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2023

Sportivo Carapegua

3 - 2

Atyra

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Gimenez A.

33'

Caballero F.

43'

Galeano C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia 2023 game between Sportivo Carapegua and Atyra finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sportivo Carapegua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Sportivo Carapegua

20%

Draws

38%

Atyra

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sportivo Carapegua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Sportivo Carapegua carry the better recent record into this one.
42% — that's where the model lands on Sportivo Carapegua taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Atyra have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 17%

Atyra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sportivo Carapegua	Atyra
Matches Played	41	30
Wins	11	8
Draws	11	4
Losses	19	18
Goals Scored	1.25	0
Goals Conceded	1.75	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2023 Division Intermedia

Sportivo Carapegua vs Atyra

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 1 - 0

3:2

Jul 12, 2023 Copa Paraguay

Atyra vs Sportivo Carapegua

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Jun 24, 2023 Division Intermedia

Atyra vs Sportivo Carapegua

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Gimenez A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Caballero F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Atyra Compare

Top Goalscorer Galeano C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gonzalez D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Carapegua 41 / 100

Atyra 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sportivo Carapegua Atyra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atyra let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Sportivo Carapegua scored in 78% of their last 41 games.

Sportivo Carapegua went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Carapegua VS -

1.25 Goals Scored 0

1.75 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sol de America	30	21	4	5	46:25	67
2	2 de Mayo	30	16	9	5	46:23	57
3	Independiente FBC	30	14	9	7	53:35	51
4	Recoleta	30	15	6	9	59:45	51
5	Fernando de la Mora	30	14	6	10	40:31	48
6	Rubio Nu	30	12	8	10	42:44	44
7	Deportivo Santani	30	12	8	10	41:43	44
8	Sportivo Carapegua	30	11	10	9	43:31	43
9	Pastoreo	30	11	10	9	37:31	43
10	San Lorenzo	30	11	9	10	35:27	42
11	3 de Febrero	30	11	6	13	39:42	39
12	Colegiales	30	9	5	16	29:44	32
13	Martin Ledesma	30	8	7	15	30:41	31
14	24 de Setiembre	30	7	8	15	38:52	29
15	Atyra	30	7	5	18	32:58	26
16	12 de Octubre	30	2	8	20	24:62	14