Sport Picks
Sportivo Carapegua vs Deportivo Capiata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Division Intermedia 
Match Events
27'
27'
Galeano L.
73'
73'
Oviedo A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Division Intermedia matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
55%
35%
10%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sportivo Carapegua
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
55%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sportivo Carapegua lately — more wins on the board than Deportivo Capiata.
- 55% — that's where the model lands on Sportivo Carapegua taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Capiata Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Carapegua | Deportivo Capiata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 2, 2026 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Deportivo Capiata
1:1
Jun 27, 2026 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Sportivo Carapegua
5:2
Oct 4, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Deportivo Capiata
2:2
Jun 30, 2025 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:1
Nov 3, 2013 Copa de Primera
Deportivo Capiata vs Sportivo Carapegua
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportivo Carapegua Compare
Top Goalscorer Galeano L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Deportivo Capiata Compare
Top Goalscorer Oviedo A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Carapegua 95 / 100
Deportivo Capiata 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Carapegua Deportivo Capiata
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sportivo Carapegua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sportivo Carapegua scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Deportivo Capiata conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Sportivo Carapegua remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Carapegua VS Deportivo Capiata
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Carapegua
(Home) 09 Oct
Sol de America
2 : 4 Sportivo Carapegua
02 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1 Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0 Tacuary
15 Sept
Atletico Tembetary
1 : 2 Sportivo Carapegua
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0 Tacuary
10 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 0 Benjamin Aceval
04 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 3 Paraguari AC
23 Aug
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 3 Encarnacion FC
Page 1 of 3
Deportivo Capiata
(Away) 02 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
27 Sept
Deportivo Capiata
0 : 0 12 de Junio
21 Sept
Encarnacion FC
3 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
13 Sept
Deportivo Capiata
0 : 1 Deportivo Santani
09 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 0 Deportivo Capiata
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
21 Sept
Encarnacion FC
3 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
09 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 0 Deportivo Capiata
28 Aug
General Caballero JLM
2 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
16 Aug
Resistencia
1 : 0 Deportivo Capiata
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Santani | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 46:25 | 54 |
| 2 | General Caballero JLM | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 54:33 | 53 |
| 3 | 12 de Junio | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 36:27 | 50 |
| 4 | Independiente FBC | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 43:35 | 43 |
| 5 | Benjamin Aceval | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 42:35 | 42 |
| 6 | Sportivo Carapegua | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 36:41 | 42 |
| 7 | Sol de America | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 35:29 | 41 |
| 8 | Paraguari AC | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 40:37 | 41 |
| 9 | Atletico Tembetary | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 39:45 | 36 |
| 10 | Resistencia | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | 35 |
| 11 | Fernando de la Mora | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 32:40 | 34 |
| 12 | 3 de Noviembre | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36:42 | 29 |
| 13 | Deportivo Capiata | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 31:37 | 29 |
| 14 | Guairena FC | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 23:36 | 28 |
| 15 | Tacuary | 28 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 32:47 | 24 |
| 16 | Encarnacion FC | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 25:40 | 22 |
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)
