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Sportivo Carapegua vs Encarnacion FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Balbuena E.
31' Event
Balbuena E.
35' Event
Cabrera A.

AI Match Summary

Encarnacion FC in this Division Intermedia matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Encarnacion FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Sportivo Carapegua
20%
Draws
17%
Encarnacion FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sportivo Carapegua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Sportivo Carapegua have won more games recently than Encarnacion FC.
  • Sportivo Carapegua are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 20%
Encarnacion FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Carapegua Encarnacion FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.27 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Encarnacion FC
1:3
May 2, 2026 Division Intermedia
Encarnacion FC vs Sportivo Carapegua
2:2
Jul 13, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Encarnacion FC
2:1
Apr 4, 2025 Division Intermedia
Encarnacion FC vs Sportivo Carapegua
0:0
Sep 6, 2024 Division Intermedia
Encarnacion FC vs Sportivo Carapegua
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabrera A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Encarnacion FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Balbuena E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Viveros F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Carapegua 85 / 100
Encarnacion FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Carapegua Encarnacion FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sportivo Carapegua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sportivo Carapegua scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Encarnacion FC conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Sportivo Carapegua remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Carapegua VS Encarnacion FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportivo Carapegua

(Home)
09 Oct
Sol de America
2 : 4
Sportivo Carapegua
02 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1
Deportivo Capiata
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1
Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0
Tacuary
15 Sept
Atletico Tembetary
1 : 2
Sportivo Carapegua
Page 1 of 6

Encarnacion FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Guairena FC
1 : 0
Encarnacion FC
02 Oct
Encarnacion FC
0 : 3
Resistencia
26 Sept
Sol de America
2 : 0
Encarnacion FC
21 Sept
Encarnacion FC
3 : 1
Deportivo Capiata
14 Sept
Independiente FBC
1 : 0
Encarnacion FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 General Caballero JLM 28 17 5 6 56:34 56
2 Deportivo Santani 28 17 3 8 47:27 54
3 12 de Junio 28 14 9 5 37:28 51
4 Independiente FBC 28 11 10 7 43:35 43
5 Benjamin Aceval 27 12 6 9 42:35 42
6 Sportivo Carapegua 28 12 6 10 36:41 42
7 Sol de America 28 9 14 5 35:29 41
8 Paraguari AC 28 12 5 11 40:37 41
9 Resistencia 28 9 9 10 32:33 36
10 Atletico Tembetary 28 10 6 12 39:45 36
11 Fernando de la Mora 28 9 7 12 32:40 34
12 3 de Noviembre 28 7 8 13 36:42 29
13 Deportivo Capiata 27 6 11 10 31:37 29
14 Guairena FC 28 7 7 14 23:36 28
15 Tacuary 28 4 12 12 32:47 24
16 Encarnacion FC 28 6 4 18 25:40 22
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