Sport Picks
Sportivo Carapegua vs Fernando de la Mora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Division Intermedia 
Match Events
36'
36'
Quintana J.
70'
70'
Galeano L.
AI Match Summary
Sportivo Carapegua in this Division Intermedia matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportivo Carapegua.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sportivo Carapegua
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sportivo Carapegua lately — more wins on the board than Fernando de la Mora.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Sportivo Carapegua taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 68%
Fernando de la Mora Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Carapegua | Fernando de la Mora |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Fernando de la Mora
2:0
Apr 21, 2026 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Sportivo Carapegua
0:1
Jul 18, 2025 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Sportivo Carapegua
3:2
Apr 14, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Fernando de la Mora
0:0
Sep 9, 2024 Copa Paraguay
Sportivo Carapegua vs Fernando de la Mora
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportivo Carapegua Compare
Top Goalscorer Quintana J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Galeano L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Fernando de la Mora Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Carapegua 95 / 100
Fernando de la Mora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Carapegua Fernando de la Mora
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sportivo Carapegua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Carapegua scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: Sportivo Carapegua stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Fernando de la Mora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Carapegua VS Fernando de la Mora
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Carapegua
(Home) 09 Oct
Sol de America
2 : 4 Sportivo Carapegua
02 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1 Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0 Tacuary
15 Sept
Atletico Tembetary
1 : 2 Sportivo Carapegua
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0 Tacuary
10 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 0 Benjamin Aceval
04 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 3 Paraguari AC
23 Aug
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 3 Encarnacion FC
Page 1 of 3
Fernando de la Mora
(Away) 10 Oct
3 de Noviembre
3 : 2 Fernando de la Mora
05 Oct
Fernando de la Mora
0 : 2 General Caballero JLM
28 Sept
Guairena FC
0 : 2 Fernando de la Mora
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 1 Resistencia
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
3 de Noviembre
3 : 2 Fernando de la Mora
28 Sept
Guairena FC
0 : 2 Fernando de la Mora
13 Sept
Sol de America
3 : 2 Fernando de la Mora
04 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 0 Fernando de la Mora
22 Aug
Atletico Tembetary
2 : 1 Fernando de la Mora
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Santani | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 46:25 | 54 |
| 2 | General Caballero JLM | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 54:33 | 53 |
| 3 | 12 de Junio | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 36:27 | 50 |
| 4 | Independiente FBC | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 43:35 | 43 |
| 5 | Benjamin Aceval | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 42:35 | 42 |
| 6 | Sportivo Carapegua | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 36:41 | 42 |
| 7 | Sol de America | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 35:29 | 41 |
| 8 | Paraguari AC | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 40:37 | 41 |
| 9 | Atletico Tembetary | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 39:45 | 36 |
| 10 | Resistencia | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | 35 |
| 11 | Fernando de la Mora | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 32:40 | 34 |
| 12 | 3 de Noviembre | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36:42 | 29 |
| 13 | Deportivo Capiata | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 31:37 | 29 |
| 14 | Guairena FC | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 23:36 | 28 |
| 15 | Tacuary | 28 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 32:47 | 24 |
| 16 | Encarnacion FC | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 25:40 | 22 |
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)
