Sport Picks
Sportivo Carapegua vs Guairena FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Division Intermedia 
Match Events
30'
30'
Gonzalez Gonzalez E. D.
54'
54'
Delvalle F.
62'
62'
Galeano L.
AI Match Summary
Sportivo Carapegua in this Division Intermedia matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportivo Carapegua.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sportivo Carapegua
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Guairena FC haven't matched Sportivo Carapegua's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Sportivo Carapegua's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 68%
Guairena FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Carapegua | Guairena FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Guairena FC
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Guairena FC
3:3
May 8, 2025 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:1
Jun 15, 2024 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Guairena FC
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportivo Carapegua Compare
Top Goalscorer Galeano L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Guairena FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez Gonzalez E. D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Carapegua 95 / 100
Guairena FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Carapegua Guairena FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sportivo Carapegua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Carapegua found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Solid form: Sportivo Carapegua remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Guairena FC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Carapegua VS Guairena FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Carapegua
(Home) 09 Oct
Sol de America
2 : 4 Sportivo Carapegua
02 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1 Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0 Tacuary
15 Sept
Atletico Tembetary
1 : 2 Sportivo Carapegua
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0 Tacuary
10 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 0 Benjamin Aceval
04 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 3 Paraguari AC
23 Aug
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 3 Encarnacion FC
Page 1 of 3
Guairena FC
(Away) 10 Oct
Guairena FC
1 : 0 Encarnacion FC
06 Oct
Deportivo Santani
1 : 0 Guairena FC
28 Sept
Guairena FC
0 : 2 Fernando de la Mora
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1 Guairena FC
18 Sept
3 de Noviembre
1 : 1 Guairena FC
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Deportivo Santani
1 : 0 Guairena FC
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1 Guairena FC
18 Sept
3 de Noviembre
1 : 1 Guairena FC
08 Sept
Paraguari AC
3 : 1 Guairena FC
04 Sept
Resistencia
2 : 1 Guairena FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | General Caballero JLM | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 56:34 | 56 |
| 2 | Deportivo Santani | 28 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 47:27 | 54 |
| 3 | 12 de Junio | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 37:28 | 51 |
| 4 | Independiente FBC | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 43:35 | 43 |
| 5 | Benjamin Aceval | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 42:35 | 42 |
| 6 | Sportivo Carapegua | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 36:41 | 42 |
| 7 | Sol de America | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 35:29 | 41 |
| 8 | Paraguari AC | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 40:37 | 41 |
| 9 | Resistencia | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 32:33 | 36 |
| 10 | Atletico Tembetary | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 39:45 | 36 |
| 11 | Fernando de la Mora | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 32:40 | 34 |
| 12 | 3 de Noviembre | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36:42 | 29 |
| 13 | Deportivo Capiata | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 31:37 | 29 |
| 14 | Guairena FC | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 23:36 | 28 |
| 15 | Tacuary | 28 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 32:47 | 24 |
| 16 | Encarnacion FC | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 25:40 | 22 |
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)
