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Sportivo Carapegua vs Guairena FC

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Gonzalez Gonzalez E. D.
54'
Delvalle F.
62' Event
Galeano L.

AI Match Summary

Sportivo Carapegua in this Division Intermedia matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportivo Carapegua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sportivo Carapegua
44%
Draws
20%
Guairena FC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Sportivo Carapegua haven't matched Guairena FC's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 16%
Guairena FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Carapegua Guairena FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Guairena FC
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Guairena FC
3:3
May 8, 2025 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:1
Jun 15, 2024 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Guairena FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Galeano L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Guairena FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez Gonzalez E. D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Carapegua 36 / 100
Guairena FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Carapegua Guairena FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Carapegua found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Guairena FC conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Sportivo Carapegua went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Carapegua VS Guairena FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportivo Carapegua

(Home)
18 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 1
Guairena FC
10 Jul
Resistencia
1 : 1
Sportivo Carapegua
05 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1
Sol de America
27 Jun
Deportivo Capiata
5 : 2
Sportivo Carapegua
06 Jun
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 2
Independiente FBC
Page 1 of 6

Guairena FC

(Away)
18 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 1
Guairena FC
12 Jul
Guairena FC
0 : 1
12 de Junio
06 Jul
Encarnacion FC
1 : 2
Guairena FC
01 Jul
Guairena FC
0 : 2
Deportivo Santani
06 Jun
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 3
Guairena FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
112 de Junio15103222:1133
2Benjamin Aceval1594226:1331
3General Caballero JLM1583430:2127
4Deportivo Santani1683522:1427
5Sol de America1659219:1424
6Atletico Tembetary1564524:2122
7Deportivo Capiata1557321:1822
8Guairena FC1563617:1921
9Independiente FBC1555523:2220
10Sportivo Carapegua1554618:2719
11Resistencia1546516:2018
12Fernando de la Mora1553718:2418
13Tacuary1629520:2415
14Paraguari AC1634915:2213
15Encarnacion FC15321015:2311
163 de Noviembre1507813:267
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)