Sport Picks
Sportivo Carapegua vs Paraguari AC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Division Intermedia 
Match Events
2'
2'
Velazco Ramirez V. G.
32'
32'
Bordon D.
46'
46'
Britez B.
AI Match Summary
The Division Intermedia game between Sportivo Carapegua and Paraguari AC finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paraguari AC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paraguari AC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Paraguari AC's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Sportivo Carapegua have produced (1.27).
- Sportivo Carapegua are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 15%
Paraguari AC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Carapegua | Paraguari AC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Paraguari AC
2:3
May 17, 2026 Division Intermedia
Paraguari AC vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportivo Carapegua Compare
Top Goalscorer Britez B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bobadilla J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Paraguari AC Compare
Top Goalscorer Velazco Ramirez V. G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bordon D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Carapegua 35 / 100
Paraguari AC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Carapegua Paraguari AC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Carapegua scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: Sportivo Carapegua stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Paraguari AC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Carapegua VS Paraguari AC
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Carapegua
(Home) 09 Oct
Sol de America
2 : 4 Sportivo Carapegua
02 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1 Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0 Tacuary
15 Sept
Atletico Tembetary
1 : 2 Sportivo Carapegua
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0 Tacuary
10 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 0 Benjamin Aceval
04 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 3 Paraguari AC
23 Aug
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 3 Encarnacion FC
Page 1 of 3
Paraguari AC
(Away) 09 Oct
Tacuary
2 : 4 Paraguari AC
03 Oct
Paraguari AC
1 : 0 3 de Noviembre
28 Sept
Atletico Tembetary
2 : 1 Paraguari AC
19 Sept
Paraguari AC
3 : 2 General Caballero JLM
14 Sept
Benjamin Aceval
1 : 3 Paraguari AC
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Tacuary
2 : 4 Paraguari AC
28 Sept
Atletico Tembetary
2 : 1 Paraguari AC
14 Sept
Benjamin Aceval
1 : 3 Paraguari AC
04 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 3 Paraguari AC
24 Aug
12 de Junio
3 : 2 Paraguari AC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Santani | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 46:25 | 54 |
| 2 | General Caballero JLM | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 54:33 | 53 |
| 3 | 12 de Junio | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 36:27 | 50 |
| 4 | Independiente FBC | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 43:35 | 43 |
| 5 | Benjamin Aceval | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 42:35 | 42 |
| 6 | Sportivo Carapegua | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 36:41 | 42 |
| 7 | Sol de America | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 35:29 | 41 |
| 8 | Paraguari AC | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 40:37 | 41 |
| 9 | Atletico Tembetary | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 39:45 | 36 |
| 10 | Resistencia | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | 35 |
| 11 | Fernando de la Mora | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 32:40 | 34 |
| 12 | 3 de Noviembre | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36:42 | 29 |
| 13 | Deportivo Capiata | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 31:37 | 29 |
| 14 | Guairena FC | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 23:36 | 28 |
| 15 | Tacuary | 28 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 32:47 | 24 |
| 16 | Encarnacion FC | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 25:40 | 22 |
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)
