Sport Picks
Sportivo Carapegua vs Resistencia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Division Intermedia 
Match Events
17'
17'
Cabrera A.
68'
68'
Gomez J.
81'
81'
Diaz F.
AI Match Summary
The Division Intermedia game between Sportivo Carapegua and Resistencia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Resistencia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sportivo Carapegua
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Sportivo Carapegua carry the better recent record into this one.
- Sportivo Carapegua are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 20%
Resistencia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Carapegua | Resistencia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 16, 2026 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Resistencia
1:2
Jul 10, 2026 Division Intermedia
Resistencia vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:1
Aug 21, 2025 Division Intermedia
Resistencia vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:1
May 15, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Resistencia
2:1
Aug 12, 2024 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Resistencia
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportivo Carapegua Compare
Top Goalscorer Cabrera A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Resistencia Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomez J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Diaz F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Carapegua 40 / 100
Resistencia 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Carapegua Resistencia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sportivo Carapegua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Carapegua scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Resistencia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Sportivo Carapegua stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Carapegua VS Resistencia
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Carapegua
(Home) 16 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 2 Resistencia
09 Oct
Sol de America
2 : 4 Sportivo Carapegua
02 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1 Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0 Tacuary
Page 1 of 6
16 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 2 Resistencia
02 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0 Tacuary
10 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 0 Benjamin Aceval
04 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 3 Paraguari AC
Page 1 of 4
Resistencia
(Away) 16 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 2 Resistencia
11 Oct
Resistencia
1 : 1 12 de Junio
02 Oct
Encarnacion FC
0 : 3 Resistencia
27 Sept
Resistencia
1 : 2 Deportivo Santani
19 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 1 Resistencia
Page 1 of 6
16 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 2 Resistencia
02 Oct
Encarnacion FC
0 : 3 Resistencia
19 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 1 Resistencia
08 Sept
General Caballero JLM
2 : 1 Resistencia
31 Aug
Paraguari AC
1 : 0 Resistencia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Santani | 29 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 49:27 | 57 |
| 2 | General Caballero JLM | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 58:37 | 56 |
| 3 | 12 de Junio | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 39:28 | 54 |
| 4 | Paraguari AC | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 45:38 | 47 |
| 5 | Sol de America | 30 | 10 | 15 | 5 | 37:30 | 45 |
| 6 | Independiente FBC | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 46:41 | 43 |
| 7 | Sportivo Carapegua | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 37:43 | 43 |
| 8 | Benjamin Aceval | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 43:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Resistencia | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 34:34 | 39 |
| 10 | Atletico Tembetary | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 41:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Deportivo Capiata | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 36:39 | 35 |
| 12 | Fernando de la Mora | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32:42 | 34 |
| 13 | 3 de Noviembre | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 38:46 | 30 |
| 14 | Guairena FC | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 23:38 | 29 |
| 15 | Tacuary | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 35:49 | 27 |
| 16 | Encarnacion FC | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 30:44 | 26 |
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)
