Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sportivo Italiano vs Argentino de Quilmes

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Republica de Italia Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Filosa L.
12' Event
Guzman M.
23'
Gomez M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Sportivo Italiano and Argentino de Quilmes finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sportivo Italiano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sportivo Italiano
6%
Draws
4%
Argentino de Quilmes
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sportivo Italiano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sportivo Italiano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sportivo Italiano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sportivo Italiano Clean Sheet 68%
Argentino de Quilmes Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Italiano Argentino de Quilmes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs Argentino de Quilmes
2:1
Jul 9, 2025 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs Argentino de Quilmes
3:1
Feb 18, 2025 Primera B
Argentino de Quilmes vs Sportivo Italiano
0:0
Sep 11, 2024 Primera B
Argentino de Quilmes vs Sportivo Italiano
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs Argentino de Quilmes
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Italiano Compare

Top Goalscorer Guzman M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guerra A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Argentino de Quilmes Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceccotti M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Italiano 95 / 100
Argentino de Quilmes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Italiano Argentino de Quilmes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Italiano has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Sportivo Italiano scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Argentino de Quilmes let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Italiano VS Argentino de Quilmes
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal Sarandi26148437:1950
2Excursionistas26147537:1749
3Talleres Remedios Escalada26147529:1349
4Villa Dalmine26139430:1448
5Deportivo Camioneros26138531:1747
6Sportivo Italiano26128627:2144
7Comunicaciones26108830:2638
8Laferrere26108829:3038
9Real Pilar26107929:2937
10Deportivo Armenio26107930:3137
11Dep. Merlo2699831:3836
12San Martin Burzaco26811726:2335
13Argentino de Merlo2698926:2435
14Dock Sud26710926:2431
15Argentino de Quilmes26710925:2831
16CSD Liniers26691117:2627
17Flandria26751420:3226
18Defensores Unidos265101120:2925
19UAI Urquiza26315812:2224
20Brown Adrogue26591216:2924
21Villa San Carlos264101224:3322
22Ituzaingo26171818:4510