Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Republica de Italia Stadium, Buenos Aires
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sportivo Italiano host Villa Dalmine in the Primera B. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Sportivo Italiano at 1.18 goals for, 0.68 against; Villa Dalmine at 0.79 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor Villa Dalmine slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 20, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 0.50, favoring Sportivo Italiano. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sportivo Italiano
35%
Draws
20%
Villa Dalmine
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sportivo Italiano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sportivo Italiano come out ahead of Villa Dalmine on wins alone.
  • Sportivo Italiano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Sportivo Italiano Clean Sheet 20%
Villa Dalmine Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Italiano Villa Dalmine
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.18 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.68 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Primera B
Villa Dalmine vs Sportivo Italiano
2:1
Jul 5, 2025 Primera B
Villa Dalmine vs Sportivo Italiano
0:1
Feb 14, 2025 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine
0:1
May 18, 2024 Primera B
Villa Dalmine vs Sportivo Italiano
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Italiano 85 / 100
Villa Dalmine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Italiano Villa Dalmine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sportivo Italiano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Italiano went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sportivo Italiano scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Villa Dalmine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Italiano VS Villa Dalmine
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportivo Italiano

(Home)
17 Oct
Sportivo Italiano
0 : 0
Arsenal Sarandi
11 Oct
Argentino de Merlo
1 : 2
Sportivo Italiano
04 Oct
Sportivo Italiano
2 : 0
Talleres Remedios Escalada
26 Sept
Laferrere
1 : 2
Sportivo Italiano
19 Sept
Sportivo Italiano
0 : 0
Brown Adrogue
Page 1 of 6

Villa Dalmine

(Away)
17 Oct
Villa San Carlos
3 : 0
Villa Dalmine
10 Oct
Villa Dalmine
1 : 1
CSD Liniers
03 Oct
Real Pilar
2 : 0
Villa Dalmine
27 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 0
UAI Urquiza
19 Sept
Villa Dalmine
3 : 1
Ituzaingo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 40 23 9 8 64:31 78
2 Arsenal Sarandi 40 20 13 7 53:26 73
3 Sportivo Italiano 40 19 12 9 47:29 69
4 Talleres Remedios Escalada 40 19 11 10 42:26 68
5 Deportivo Camioneros 40 18 13 9 47:32 67
6 Villa Dalmine 40 17 14 9 39:27 65
7 Deportivo Armenio 40 17 11 12 42:38 62
8 Real Pilar 40 17 11 12 42:39 62
9 Comunicaciones 40 14 15 11 39:34 57
10 Laferrere 40 14 13 13 49:52 55
11 San Martin Burzaco 40 12 15 13 41:45 51
12 Villa San Carlos 40 12 14 14 40:43 50
13 Dep. Merlo 40 11 15 14 39:53 48
14 Dock Sud 40 11 14 15 41:45 47
15 CSD Liniers 40 10 15 15 33:41 45
16 Flandria 40 12 9 19 36:48 45
17 Argentino de Merlo 40 11 11 18 36:44 44
18 Argentino de Quilmes 40 9 17 14 32:40 44
19 Brown Adrogue 40 9 16 15 25:37 43
20 Defensores Unidos 40 9 15 16 33:40 42
21 UAI Urquiza 40 6 21 13 23:36 39
22 Ituzaingo 40 1 14 25 27:64 17
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)