Sport Picks
Sportivo Trinidense vs Guarani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción 
Match Events
17'
17'
Abreu L.
35'
35'
Gonzalez C.
46'
46'
Sub
Arrua C. In: Fernandez F.
Out: Arrua C.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarani
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Sportivo Trinidense carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Sportivo Trinidense a 42% chance of winning this.
- Sportivo Trinidense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Guarani, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Trinidense | Guarani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 0.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Guarani
0:1
Mar 29, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Sportivo Trinidense
0:0
Jan 29, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Guarani
0:0
Sep 26, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Guarani
1:1
Jul 20, 2025 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Sportivo Trinidense
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportivo Trinidense Compare
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Guarani Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Trinidense 42 / 100
Guarani 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Trinidense Guarani
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Trinidense's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Sportivo Trinidense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Guarani has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 0.60 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Trinidense VS Guarani
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Trinidense
(Home) 05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 Guarani
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
06 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 Guarani
06 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
29 Aug
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 2 de Mayo
Page 1 of 4
Guarani
(Away) 03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1 Guarani
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 Guarani
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1 Guarani
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 Guarani
02 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Guarani
25 Aug
2 de Mayo
0 : 0 Guarani
12 Aug
Sportivo Iteno
2 : 1 Guarani
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5:23 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
