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Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:20 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Sportivo Trinidense at 1.62 goals for, 1.14 against; Libertad Asuncion at 1.38 for, 1.31 against. Head-to-head, Sportivo Trinidense have won 1 to Libertad Asuncion's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 10, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.19) point toward Sportivo Trinidense. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sportivo Trinidense
15%
Draws
45%
Libertad Asuncion
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Libertad Asuncion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Libertad Asuncion carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sportivo Trinidense are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Libertad Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Libertad Asuncion, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 20%
Libertad Asuncion Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Trinidense Libertad Asuncion
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.62 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:1
Feb 15, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense
0:0
Jul 26, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Trinidense 36 / 100
Libertad Asuncion 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Trinidense Libertad Asuncion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Trinidense found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Libertad Asuncion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sportivo Trinidense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Trinidense VS Libertad Asuncion
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportivo Trinidense

(Home)
05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1
Cerro Porteno
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1
Guarani
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3
Sportivo Trinidense
06 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

Libertad Asuncion

(Away)
05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1
Olimpia Asuncion
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 13 8 2 3 22:10 26
2 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
3 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
4 Nacional Asuncion 13 6 5 2 20:8 23
5 Sportivo Trinidense 13 7 2 4 23:13 23
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Sportivo Ameliano 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
8 Cerro Porteno 13 5 2 6 15:14 17
9 Sp. Luqueno 13 4 1 8 14:24 13
10 Rubio Nu 13 3 3 7 15:24 12
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 13 0 3 10 4:22 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)