Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sportivo Trinidense vs San Lorenzo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción
Sportivo Trinidense Logo

Sportivo Trinidense

3 - 0
FT
San Lorenzo Logo

San Lorenzo

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gonzalez C.
Assist: De la Cruz L.
46'
Sub
Villamayor H. In: Amarilla R.
Out: Villamayor H.
46'
Sub
Ferreira M. In: Barrios J.
Out: Ferreira M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sportivo Trinidense
35%
Draws
24%
San Lorenzo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sportivo Trinidense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Sportivo Trinidense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sportivo Trinidense a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Sportivo Trinidense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sportivo Trinidense, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 68%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Trinidense San Lorenzo
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.66 0.61
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:1
Aug 3, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs San Lorenzo
3:0
Apr 17, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs San Lorenzo
2:1
Feb 19, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:1
Oct 8, 2022 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Trinidense vs San Lorenzo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Trinidense Compare

Top Goalscorer Abreu L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

San Lorenzo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Trinidense 50 / 100
San Lorenzo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Trinidense San Lorenzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sportivo Trinidense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Trinidense found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

San Lorenzo has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sportivo Trinidense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Trinidense VS San Lorenzo
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportivo Trinidense

(Home)
10 Oct
San Lorenzo
1 : 1
Sportivo Trinidense
05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1
Cerro Porteno
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1
Guarani
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3
Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 6

San Lorenzo

(Away)
10 Oct
San Lorenzo
1 : 1
Sportivo Trinidense
03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1
San Lorenzo
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0
Recoleta
23 Sept
San Lorenzo
2 : 1
4 de Mayo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3
Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 13 8 2 3 22:10 26
2 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
3 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
4 Sportivo Trinidense 14 7 3 4 24:14 24
5 Nacional Asuncion 13 6 5 2 20:8 23
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Cerro Porteno 14 6 2 6 18:14 20
8 Sportivo Ameliano 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
9 Sp. Luqueno 14 4 1 9 14:27 13
10 Rubio Nu 13 3 3 7 15:24 12
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 14 0 4 10 5:23 4
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)