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Sportivo Trinidense vs Sp. Luqueno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción
Sportivo Trinidense Logo

Sportivo Trinidense

3 - 2
FT
Sp. Luqueno Logo

Sp. Luqueno

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Rayer T.
Assist: Camacho N.
12'
Cantero A.
43' Event
Maggi I.
Assist: Ruiz O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sportivo Trinidense
15%
Draws
34%
Sp. Luqueno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sportivo Trinidense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sp. Luqueno haven't matched Sportivo Trinidense's recent run of results.
  • Sportivo Trinidense are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Sportivo Trinidense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sportivo Trinidense, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 68%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Trinidense Sp. Luqueno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.62 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Sp. Luqueno
3:2
Jul 29, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:4
Apr 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Trinidense
2:1
Feb 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Sp. Luqueno
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Trinidense Compare

Top Goalscorer Rayer T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Viera G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sp. Luqueno Compare

Top Goalscorer Maggi I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Trinidense 77 / 100
Sp. Luqueno 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Trinidense Sp. Luqueno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sportivo Trinidense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Trinidense scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Sp. Luqueno has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sportivo Trinidense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Trinidense VS Sp. Luqueno
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportivo Trinidense

(Home)
05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1
Cerro Porteno
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1
Guarani
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3
Sportivo Trinidense
06 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

Sp. Luqueno

(Away)
05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1
Guarani
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0
Recoleta
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 13 8 2 3 22:10 26
2 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
3 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
4 Sportivo Trinidense 14 7 3 4 24:14 24
5 Nacional Asuncion 13 6 5 2 20:8 23
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Cerro Porteno 14 6 2 6 18:14 20
8 Sportivo Ameliano 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
9 Sp. Luqueno 14 4 1 9 14:27 13
10 Rubio Nu 13 3 3 7 15:24 12
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 14 0 4 10 5:23 4
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