Sport Picks
Sportlust vs ADO 20 Heemskerk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between Sportlust and ADO 20 Heemskerk finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sportlust.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sportlust
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- ADO 20 Heemskerk carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Sportlust's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sportlust Clean Sheet 13%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportlust | ADO 20 Heemskerk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 17, 2026 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Sportlust
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportlust 35 / 100
ADO 20 Heemskerk 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportlust ADO 20 Heemskerk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportlust's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
ADO 20 Heemskerk let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Sportlust remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sportlust VS ADO 20 Heemskerk
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportlust
(Home) 17 Oct
Sportlust
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
10 Oct
USV Hercules
0 : 0 Sportlust
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3 Excelsior 31
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2 Sportlust
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 7
17 Oct
Sportlust
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3 Excelsior 31
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0 VV DOVO
05 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 2 VV Hoogeveen
Page 1 of 4
ADO 20 Heemskerk
(Away) 17 Oct
Sportlust
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
10 Oct
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
03 Oct
VV DOVO
1 : 3 ADO 20 Heemskerk
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5 VV Hoogeveen
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
Page 1 of 7
17 Oct
Sportlust
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
03 Oct
VV DOVO
1 : 3 ADO 20 Heemskerk
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
05 Sept
SVZW Wierden
4 : 6 ADO 20 Heemskerk
22 Aug
Eemdijk
4 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV Assen | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26:10 | 23 |
| 2 | VV Scherpenzeel | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Harkemase Boys | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Excelsior 31 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:9 | 22 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22:15 | 21 |
| 6 | TEC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:14 | 19 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:12 | 18 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 22:21 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 24:23 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Staphorst | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | 9 |
| 14 | Eemdijk | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13:28 | 7 |
| 15 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | 6 |
| 16 | VV DOVO | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:25 | 5 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16:27 | 4 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9:28 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Noordwijk | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22:2 | 25 |
| 2 | Lisse | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | 25 |
| 3 | Excelsior Maassluis | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:7 | 23 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25:12 | 20 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20:9 | 20 |
| 6 | Dongen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24:21 | 16 |
| 7 | VV Zwaluwen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | 16 |
| 8 | SV Poortugaal | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12:14 | 15 |
| 9 | GOES | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:25 | 14 |
| 10 | Gemert | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Blauw Geel | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 12 | Roosendaal | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:23 | 10 |
| 13 | TOGB | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:24 | 9 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:24 | 9 |
| 15 | UNA | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 16 | VVSB | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:21 | 8 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8:22 | 6 |
| 18 | EVV | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11:23 | 3 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
