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Sportlust vs Genemuiden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sportlust host Genemuiden in the Derde Divisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Sportlust have averaged 1.52 scored and 1.58 conceded recently, against Genemuiden's 2.1 scored and 1.45 conceded. Head-to-head, Sportlust have won 2 to Genemuiden's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.81, favoring Genemuiden. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sportlust
20%
Draws
40%
Genemuiden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sportlust haven't matched Genemuiden's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sportlust Clean Sheet 11%
Genemuiden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportlust Genemuiden
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 18
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.52 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs Genemuiden
0:3
Sep 13, 2025 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs Sportlust
3:1
Apr 5, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs Genemuiden
2:0
Oct 26, 2024 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs Sportlust
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportlust 30 / 100
Genemuiden 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportlust Genemuiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportlust found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Genemuiden let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sportlust remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sportlust VS Genemuiden
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportlust

(Home)
23 Oct
Eemdijk
3 : 1
Sportlust
17 Oct
Sportlust
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
10 Oct
USV Hercules
0 : 0
Sportlust
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3
Excelsior 31
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2
Sportlust
Page 1 of 7

Genemuiden

(Away)
24 Oct
Genemuiden
2 : 2
ADO 20 Heemskerk
17 Oct
Excelsior 31
5 : 0
Genemuiden
10 Oct
Genemuiden
3 : 1
VV DOVO
03 Oct
VV Hoogeveen
5 : 3
Genemuiden
26 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 0
Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harkemase Boys 11 8 2 1 24:14 26
2 ACV Assen 11 7 3 1 27:11 24
3 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
4 Excelsior 31 11 7 1 3 28:13 22
5 Genemuiden 11 7 1 3 24:17 22
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 11 5 4 2 19:17 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 11 5 2 4 24:21 17
10 ADO 20 Heemskerk 11 4 2 5 21:23 14
11 VV Hoogeveen 11 4 1 6 24:25 13
12 USV Hercules 11 4 1 6 16:23 13
13 Eemdijk 10 3 1 6 16:29 10
14 DVS '33 Ermelo 11 2 3 6 17:22 9
15 Staphorst 11 2 3 6 17:25 9
16 VV DOVO 11 1 3 7 13:26 6
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 11 0 1 10 12:32 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 11 9 1 1 25:4 28
2 Lisse 11 9 1 1 26:8 28
3 Excelsior Maassluis 11 8 2 1 22:7 26
4 Rijnvogels 11 7 2 2 29:13 23
5 RKSV UDI 19 11 6 2 3 22:12 20
6 VV Zwaluwen 11 6 1 4 15:16 19
7 SV Poortugaal 11 6 0 5 15:16 18
8 Dongen 11 5 1 5 24:25 16
9 GOES 11 4 2 5 21:28 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 11 3 3 5 15:17 12
12 TOGB 11 3 3 5 19:25 12
13 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 11 2 2 7 15:25 8
17 Achilles Veen 11 2 0 9 9:26 6
18 EVV 11 0 3 8 11:24 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)