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Sportlust vs Harkemase Boys

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sportlust
6%
Draws
90%
Harkemase Boys
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Harkemase Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sportlust haven't matched Harkemase Boys's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Harkemase Boys taking it.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sportlust Clean Sheet 18%
Harkemase Boys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportlust Harkemase Boys
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs Sportlust
4:1
Dec 13, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs Harkemase Boys
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs Harkemase Boys
2:2
Nov 16, 2024 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs Sportlust
1:0
May 20, 2023 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs Harkemase Boys
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportlust 10 / 100
Harkemase Boys 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportlust Harkemase Boys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Sportlust found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Harkemase Boys's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Harkemase Boys lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sportlust VS Harkemase Boys
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rohda Raalte34207763:3667
2DVS '33 Ermelo341711659:3962
3Sparta Nijkerk341941184:4361
4ADO 20 Heemskerk34179846:3660
5Genemuiden341751261:5256
6Staphorst341731463:5354
7Harkemase Boys3414101056:4452
8VV DOVO341571253:4352
9Eemdijk341481268:5950
10VV Scherpenzeel341471359:4949
11VV Hoogeveen341461454:6448
12Sportlust341451554:5247
13USV Hercules341351653:5744
14Excelsior 31341241849:5740
15Huizen341171651:6340
16TEC341241848:6440
17Urk34871961:9731
18HSC '2134152835:1098
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1VV Kloetinge34227568:4373
2Lisse34208667:3368
3VVSB34215870:3768
4Rijnvogels34197863:3964
5Gemert341710771:4661
6Roosendaal341591071:5854
7TOGB341581164:6153
8VV Zwaluwen341561361:4851
9Blauw Geel341461453:5148
10VV Noordwijk341281456:5144
11RKSV UDI 19341161757:7439
12UNA341081651:5938
13GOES341071743:6137
14Groene Ster341061845:6436
15SteDoCo341042035:6934
16SVV Scheveningen34952049:6532
17Meerssen34871947:7031
18ASWH34672145:8725