Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between Sportlust and USV Hercules finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USV Hercules.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
63%
20%
17%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sportlust
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
63%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and USV Hercules come out ahead of Sportlust on wins alone.
- Model gives Sportlust a 63% chance of winning this.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- USV Hercules have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sportlust Clean Sheet 16%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportlust | USV Hercules |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs USV Hercules
0:2
Nov 29, 2025 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs Sportlust
1:0
Jan 25, 2025 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs Sportlust
4:0
Aug 31, 2024 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs USV Hercules
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportlust 84 / 100
USV Hercules 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportlust USV Hercules
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sportlust Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportlust went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Sportlust scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
USV Hercules's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Sportlust VS USV Hercules
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportlust
(Home) 12 Sept
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4 Sportlust
05 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 2 VV Hoogeveen
01 Sept
Sportlust
3 : 1 Blauw Geel
29 Aug
TEC
1 : 2 Sportlust
22 Aug
Sportlust
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 2 VV Hoogeveen
01 Sept
Sportlust
3 : 1 Blauw Geel
22 Aug
Sportlust
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
16 May
Sportlust
0 : 2 Sparta Nijkerk
09 May
Sportlust
0 : 2 USV Hercules
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USV Hercules
(Away) 12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3 ACV Assen
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3 EVV
29 Aug
Harkemase Boys
5 : 3 USV Hercules
22 Aug
USV Hercules
0 : 4 Genemuiden
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12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
29 Aug
Harkemase Boys
5 : 3 USV Hercules
16 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 USV Hercules
08 Aug
Rijnsburgse Boys
1 : 1 USV Hercules
23 May
TEC
0 : 0 USV Hercules
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
